Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Deportivo's misfiring at home collides with Espanyol's streaky form — both need a statement win.** 🔥 This one's got "messy middle table scrap" energy.
Deportivo are struggling: just one win in five, and that 0-2 shellacking to Madrid at home last time out stings. Espanyol, meanwhile, swung wildly from a 5-1 demolition of Madrid CFF to losing at home to Badalona — classic inconsistency. Head-to-head leans Deportivo's way (3W-3D over eight), but form? It's chaos both ways.
Key storylines:
- **Deportivo's home woes** need fixing fast if they want to stay competitive
- **Espanyol's attack** showed teeth against Madrid CFF but went quiet after; which version shows up?
- **Midfield battle** between **O. Rodríguez** and **D. Caracas** (Deportivo) vs **P. Gutiérrez** and **M. Torrás** will likely decide tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Real Club Deportivo de A Coruña**: I. Pereira, E. Dios, E. Vázquez, A. Ranera, D. Caracas, M. Barth, O. Rodríguez, Redru, V. Montesinos, E. Pizarro, L. Rivas
- **RCD Espanyol de Barcelona**: R. Salvador, L. Vallejo, R. G. Yagüe, J. G. Peiró, A. Domenech, P. Gutiérrez, M. Torrás, I. Lacosta, N. García, O. Baradad, P. Browne
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — both sides are fragile enough to slip up, sturdy enough to nick a goal. Coin flip that leans slightly Deportivo's way at home.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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