Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
Gorka Álvarez
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid**Real Madrid's dominance over Sociedad is absolutely brutal** — 10 wins in the last 13 meetings sets up a massive mountain to climb for the hosts. 🏔️
Sociedad are treading water at 1W-2D-2L, while Madrid just keep rolling with four straight wins. The visitors smell blood and rarely miss the chance to remind the Basque Country who runs this league.
Key storylines:
- **Real Madrid's attacking trio** of L. Caicedo, L. Beerensteyn, and E. M. Navarro have been clinical in recent outings — Sociedad's backline will need to stay sharp
- **Sociedad's midfield** anchored by I. Egiguren and K. Cahynova will have to win the ball early or face relentless Madrid pressure
- **Defensive solidity** is Sociedad's only real hope — they've leaked three in their last loss to Granada, and Madrid punishes sloppiness instantly
Expected lineups:
- **Real Sociedad**: J. Arrula, A. Aguirrezabala, C. Florentino, N. Aparicio, A. V. Moraza, I. Egiguren, K. Cahynova, P. Fernández
- **Real Madrid**: M. Frohms, J. Levels, M. Lakrar, B. Andersson, N. Bejarano, A. Jacinto, F. Angeldahl, E. Senß
Prediction:
**Real Madrid 2-0 Real Sociedad**
Madrid's pedigree in this fixture is just too much — Sociedad need a spark that hasn't shown up yet this season.
Real Sociedad
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Real Madrid
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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