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Ivan Jurić
Monza
US Avellino 1912
Monza
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-1-2
US Avellino 1912
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
47334 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
68.5%
-30.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.1%
+21.0 vs price
Draw
130.0 · implied 0.8%
10.4%
+9.6 vs price
Half time
1781 EUR · live
Home
1.1 · implied 90.9%
69.0%
-22.0 vs price
Draw
6.6 · implied 15.2%
24.9%
+9.8 vs price
Away
50.0 · implied 2.0%
6.1%
+4.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
12314 EUR · live
Under
3.9 · implied 25.6%
62.7%
+37.1 vs price
Over
1.34 · implied 74.6%
37.2%
-37.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2202 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
97.9%
-0.2 vs price
Over
28.0 · implied 3.6%
2.1%
-1.5 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
22'
⚽
G. Varela1–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'
⚽
G. Varela · assist P. Cutrone2–0
47'
B. Moruzzi · Foul
51'
⚽
O. Forson · assist P. Cutrone3–0
55'
🔁
A. Favilli ◂ T. Biasci
55'
🔁
L. Pandolfi ◂ D. Fila
59'
🔁
D. Sounas ◂ L. Palmiero
59'
🔁
L. Di Maggio ◂ M. Palumbo
70'
🔁
A. Bakoune ◂ R. Mangas
70'
🔁
A. Colpani ◂ O. Forson
73'
🔁
M. Venturi ◂ L. Šimić
81'
🔁
L. Lucchesi ◂ S. Birindelli
81'
🔁
A. Petagna ◂ G. Varela
85'
🔁
N. Galazzi ◂ M. Mout
Full-time · 3–0
90'+1
D. Sounas · Foul
Coaches
Ivan JurićAlessandro Nesta 
Recent form
MonzaDHPadova3-3
LHAris Thessaloniki1-3
WAGalatasaray2-0
WHPro Vercelli4-3
LHFrosinone0-1
US Avellino 1912DHTorino1-1
LALazio3-6
WHReal Forio3-1
WASambenedettese5-0
WHScafatese3-1
Where to watch
Premier Sports 2 HD
Premier Sports 2 HD
20 Mediaset
20 Mediaset
Match facts
Kickoff
14 Aug, 18:45 UTC
Competition
Coppa Italia
Highlights & clips
Monza
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-1-2
US Avellino 1912
20
D. Thiam
7.2
60
E. Kouadio
8.3
15
F. Delli Carri
7.9
44
A. Carboni
6.8
3
L. Lucchesi
6.7
↑ 81'
8
M. F. Ondoa
7.5
23
N. Galazzi
6.8
↑ 85'
24
A. Bakoune
7.1
↑ 70'
28
A. Colpani
7.2
↑ 70'
10
P. Cutrone
9.8
37
A. Petagna
6.4
↑ 81'
50
T. Martinelli
6.9
29
T. Cancellotti
6.1
4
A. Izzo
6.5
23
M. Venturi
6.7
↑ 73'
27
B. Moruzzi
6.3
8
L. Di Maggio
6.7
↑ 59'
24
D. Sounas
6.9
↑ 59'
39
M. Besaggio
6.4
10
R. Russo
6.1
7
L. Pandolfi
6.7
↑ 55'
99
A. Favilli
6.4
↑ 55'
Top stats
56%Possession44%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
22Total shots6
5Shots on target2
4Big chances0
5Corners1
Shots
10Shots off target3
7Blocked shots1
15Shots inside box4
7Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
Attack
37Touches in box22
57Final third entries37
3Offsides0
15Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
526Passes410
463Accurate passes358
35/55 (64%)Long balls13/34 (38%)
5/20 (25%)Crosses1/17 (6%)
14Throw-ins15
Duels
54Duels46
44/74 (59%)Ground duels30/74 (41%)
8/23 (35%)Aerial duels15/23 (65%)
8/15 (53%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
7Dispossessed16
Defending
21Tackles14
52Tackles won43
12Interceptions8
9Clearances33
57Recoveries47
Discipline
12Fouls15
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
5Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
Who winsMonza to win (DNB) 73% · 1.47 @ merkurxtip
1X2Monza to win 55% · 2.21 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.89 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 2.06 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 26% · 2.65 @ fonbet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.05 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.77 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.48 @ Betway
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.37 @ betfair
1X2Avellino to win 20% · 4.90 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Monza ▲
3.44
Draw ▼
4.14
US Avellino 1912 ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
Monza or Draw
1.28
Monza or US Avellino 1912 ▲
1.88
Draw or US Avellino 1912 ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes ▼
1.87
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.81
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.24
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.98
Over 2.50
1.76
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.35
Over 3.50 ▼
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50 ▲
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.35
Monza ▲
3.03
US Avellino 1912 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.08
Over 5.50
7.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
4.53
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50 ▼
3.08
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.59
Over 8.50 ▼
2.21
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.98
Over 9.50 ▼
1.73
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.57
Over 10.50 ▼
1.44
Under 10.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.45
Over 11.50 ▼
1.26
Under 11.50 ▲
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Monza to win or draw
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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