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Giorgio Gorgone
Catanzaro
Südtirol
Catanzaro
3-4-2-1 · 5-3-2
Südtirol
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
86546 EUR · live
Home
15.0 · implied 6.7%
50.4%
+43.7 vs price
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
40.2%
-51.5 vs price
Away
22.0 · implied 4.5%
9.4%
+4.9 vs price
Half time
178 EUR
Away
4.3 · implied 23.3%
51.7%
+28.4 vs price
Draw
2.22 · implied 45.0%
47.6%
+2.6 vs price
Home
3.05 · implied 32.8%
15.8%
-17.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
5014 EUR · live
Under
3.9 · implied 25.6%
56.6%
+31.0 vs price
Over
1.35 · implied 74.1%
43.4%
-30.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1053 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
92.1%
-3.1 vs price
Over
7.6 · implied 13.2%
7.8%
-5.4 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
N. Pyyhtiä0–1
27'
⚽
S. Pafundi · assist M. D'Alessandro1–1
40'
F. Davi · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
S. Molina ◂ F. Davi
53'
⚽
P. Iemmello2–1
63'
🔁
M. Dorval ◂ M. D'Alessandro
68'
🔁
K. Mixtur ◂ R. Burnete
68'
🔁
S. Davì ◂ B. Bjarkason
69'
M. Antonini · Foul
73'
🔁
N. Buso ◂ S. Pafundi
73'
🔁
R. Frosinini ◂ B. Verrengia
80'
🔁
D. Casiraghi ◂ A. Vasić
81'
🔁
G. Arditi ◂ P. Iemmello
81'
🔁
E. Bashi ◂ M. Ruggero
85'
⚽
K. Mixtur · assist S. Tronchin2–2
88'
V. Lopes · Foul
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
G. Alesi · Foul
PEN · 3–4
Coaches
Davide Possanzini 
Recent form
WHGiugliano3-0
WHFC Paradiso3-1
LASassuolo0-1
LAEmpoli1-4
LAUdinese1-4
WHVirtus Verona1-0
WHSt. Georgen7-0
DA1. FC Kaiserslautern0-0
LAComo1-3
DAMonza0-0
Where to watch
YouTube - SportyNet
DAZN
20 Mediaset
20 Mediaset
Match facts
Stadium
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
City
Catanzaro
Referee
Kickoff
15 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Coppa Italia
Highlights & clips
22
M. Pigliacelli
7.5
5
E. Bashi
6.3
↑ 81'
4
M. Antonini
6.3
62
R. Frosinini
5.8
↑ 73'
27
A. Candela
6.7
98
N. Mosti
6.8
10
J. Petriccione
8.0
93
M. Dorval
5.9
↑ 63'
7
N. Buso
7.0
↑ 73'
30
G. Alesi
6.4
91
G. Arditi
7.2
↑ 81'
22
A. Plizzari
7.9
79
S. Molina
7.1
↑ 46'
4
R. Stivanello
5.5
27
G. Stabile
6.4
3
D. Veroli
6.3
24
S. Davì
7.0
↑ 68'
11
V. Lopes
7.0
8
N. Pyyhtiä
7.8
5
S. Tronchin
6.6
25
K. Mixtur
7.5
↑ 68'
17
D. Casiraghi
7.1
↑ 80'
Top stats
55%Possession45%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
13Total shots11
4Shots on target3
2Big chances1
0Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target5
3Blocked shots3
8Shots inside box5
5Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
Attack
22Touches in box15
56Final third entries31
1Offsides1
15Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
452Passes373
391Accurate passes314
34/61 (56%)Long balls11/30 (37%)
1/8 (13%)Crosses0/8 (0%)
15Throw-ins17
Duels
53Duels47
29/55 (53%)Ground duels26/55 (47%)
6/11 (55%)Aerial duels5/11 (45%)
3/5 (60%)Dribbles3/5 (60%)
9Dispossessed9
Defending
11Tackles11
100Tackles won73
8Interceptions4
16Clearances18
33Recoveries38
Discipline
13Fouls15
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
1Big saves0
6Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.15 @ fanatics
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 60% · 1.60 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 30% · 2.45 @ forbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.33 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.03 @ Bet365
Who winsCatanzaro to win (DNB) 59% · 1.59 @ forbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.95 @ 1xBet
1X2Südtirol to win 29% · 3.90 @ fonbet
1X2Catanzaro to win 42% · 2.80 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.28 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.03
Catanzaro
3.25
Draw
3.69
Südtirol
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
Catanzaro or Draw
1.30
Catanzaro or Südtirol
1.69
Draw or Südtirol
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes
1.86
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.25
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50
2.99
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.08
Over 2.50
1.67
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.68
Over 3.50
1.23
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.75
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.47
Catanzaro
2.44
Südtirol
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.04
Over 4.50
9.30
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.08
Over 5.50
6.50
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.23
Over 6.50
3.66
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.47
Over 7.50
2.52
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.80
Over 8.50
1.91
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.32
Over 9.50
1.54
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.27
Over 10.50
1.27
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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