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Alberto Aquilani
Sassuolo
Cesena
Sassuolo
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Cesena
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
205852 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.8%
-14.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.6%
+10.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.6%
+4.5 vs price
Half time
7251 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.2%
-6.8 vs price
Draw
17.5 · implied 5.7%
4.1%
-1.6 vs price
Away
90.0 · implied 1.1%
3.7%
+2.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
73965 EUR · live
Under
2.24 · implied 44.6%
58.6%
+13.9 vs price
Over
1.81 · implied 55.2%
41.4%
-13.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
14271 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.4%
-16.6 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
17.6%
+15.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
🔁
M. Ilić ◂ M. Piacentini
13'
⚽
C. Volpato · assist S. Cinquegrano1–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'+2
⚽
V. Adžić · assist J. Doig2–0
46'
🔁
A. Fiori ◂ M. D. Caprini
64'
A. David · Foul
66'
🔁
B. Domínguez ◂ N. Matić
66'
🔁
A. Ghion ◂ K. Bowie
68'
🔁
L. Schirone ◂ M. Guidi
68'
🔁
M. Francesconi ◂ R. Pagano
72'
🔁
L. Lipani ◂ V. Adžić
72'
L. Schirone · Foul
75'
⚽
L. Lipani · assist D. Bakola3–0
82'
🔁
A. Di Bitonto ◂ T. Macchioni
82'
🔁
F. Missori ◂ S. Cinquegrano
83'
🔁
A. Debenedetti ◂ C. Shpendi
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Alberto AquilaniAlessandro Diamanti 
Recent form
SassuoloLAFC Augsburg2-3
LHCelta Vigo1-4
DHFolgore Caratese0-0
DHParma0-0
LATrento0-2
CesenaDAForlì0-0
WHVis Pesaro3-0
WHFossombrone3-0
WHCarpi1-0
DHPisa0-0
Where to watch
SportyNetYouTube - SportyNet
DAZN
Premier Sports 2 HD
Arena Sport 2 HR
Premier Sports 2 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Mapei Stadium
City
Reggio Emilia
Referee
Kickoff
17 Aug, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Coppa Italia
Highlights & clips
Sassuolo
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Cesena
49
A. Murić
8.7
23
A. Di Bitonto
6.5
↑ 82'
26
C. Odenthal
7.1
2
F. Missori
6.7
↑ 82'
3
J. Doig
7.7
35
L. Lipani
7.7
↑ 72'
8
A. Ghion
6.7
↑ 66'
50
D. Bakola
7.8
7
C. Volpato
8.2
25
B. Domínguez
6.8
↑ 66'
45
A. Laurienté
7.8
1
A. Siano
6.7
15
A. Ciofi
6.4
6
M. Ilić
6.3
↑ 6'
24
M. Mangraviti
6.5
3
A. David
6.2
25
D. Bisoli
6.6
8
M. Francesconi
6.4
↑ 68'
5
L. Schirone
6.2
↑ 68'
14
X. Druiventak
6.5
91
A. Debenedetti
6.5
↑ 83'
80
A. Fiori
6.3
↑ 46'
Substitutes
80GS. Turati
22GL. Nyarko
31DT. Macchioni↓ 82'7.1
46DS. Cinquegrano↓ 82'7.0
21DJ. Idzes
17MV. Adžić↓ 72'7.9
18MN. Matić↓ 66'6.9
33MR. Obrador
44ME. Iannoni
20MR. Ciervo
9FK. Bowie↓ 66'6.2
30FP. A. Nuamah
77FN. Pierini
24FL. Moro
14FG. Kulla
Coach: Alberto Aquilani
Substitutes
90GT. Mazzii
39GN. Fontana
26DM. Piacentini↓ 6'
23DV. Magni
2DM. Natta
10MR. Pagano↓ 68'6.9
18MM. Guidi↓ 68'6.1
20MM. Casadei
76ME. Casadei
43MF. Bertaccini
11FM. D. Caprini↓ 46'6.8
9FC. Shpendi↓ 83'6.0
Coach: Alessandro Diamanti
Top stats
58%Possession42%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
18Total shots9
8Shots on target5
2Big chances0
4Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
12Shots inside box7
6Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
Attack
31Touches in box22
41Final third entries50
11Free kicks6
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
517Passes374
460Accurate passes322
25/45 (56%)Long balls19/38 (50%)
4/12 (33%)Crosses5/15 (33%)
21Throw-ins17
Duels
59Duels41
33/57 (58%)Ground duels24/57 (42%)
7/11 (64%)Aerial duels4/11 (36%)
8/16 (50%)Dribbles1/7 (14%)
9Dispossessed9
Defending
15Tackles17
73Tackles won53
9Interceptions12
10Clearances15
38Recoveries38
Discipline
6Fouls11
0Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
5Saves5
2Big saves1
9Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
Who winsSassuolo to win (DNB) 81% · 1.26 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Sassuolo to win 66% · 1.78 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 1.65 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.21 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.53 @ Novibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.76 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.47 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.80 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 20% · 3.25 @ fanatics
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.62 @ efbet.net
1X2Cesena to win 14% · 6.20 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.45
Sassuolo ▼
4.57
Draw ▲
6.19
Cesena ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.11
Sassuolo or Draw
1.18
Sassuolo or Cesena
2.56
Draw or Cesena ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.68
Yes ▲
2.08
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
13.44
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50
4.77
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.53
Over 2.50
2.39
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.33
Over 3.50 ▲
1.55
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.25
Over 4.50
1.21
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.15
Sassuolo ▼
4.89
Cesena ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.53
Over 8.50
2.35
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.90
Over 9.50
1.80
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.50
Over 10.50
1.47
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.52
Over 12.50 ▼
1.15
Under 12.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
6.56
Over 13.50
1.07
Under 13.50
Corners 1X2consensus
1.40
Sassuolo
9.00
Draw
3.40
Cesena
European Handicap -4.00consensus
15.34
Sassuolo -4 ▼
10.67
Draw -4 ▼
1.07
Cesena +4 ▼
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Sassuolo to win or draw
✓
86% confidence
Sassuolo to avoid defeat
✓
81% confidence
Over 1.5 goals
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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