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Filippo Inzaghi
Palermo
Lecce
Palermo
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Lecce
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
133200 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.2%
-11.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.1%
+7.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.7%
+5.6 vs price
Half time
521 EUR · live
Draw
2.08 · implied 48.1%
67.5%
+19.5 vs price
Away
5.0 · implied 20.0%
25.1%
+5.1 vs price
Home
3.15 · implied 31.7%
6.9%
-24.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
111365 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
62.9%
-36.1 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
37.1%
+32.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
912 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
73.4%
-19.2 vs price
Over
11.5 · implied 8.7%
26.5%
+17.8 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
🔁
M. Fortin ◂ J. Joronen
14'
⚽
D. Vavassori · assist P. Peda1–0
20'
A. Palumbo · Foul
35'
L. Coulibaly · Foul
42'
⚽
J. Pohjanpalo · assist D. Johnsen2–0
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
N. Štulić ◂ Y. Maleh
46'
🔁
J. Le Douaron ◂ J. Pohjanpalo
46'
🔁
Hernani ◂ A. Palumbo
62'
🔁
G. Strefezza ◂ D. Johnsen
74'
🔁
H. Lærke ◂ S. Pierotti
74'
🔁
O. Gorter ◂ O. Ngom
77'
🔁
N. Estévez ◂ F. Ranocchia
84'
🔁
P. Esteban ◂ W. Geubbels
88'
🔁
M. Kaba ◂ L. Coulibaly
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Filippo InzaghiEusebio Di Francesco 
Recent form
PalermoLHJuventus0-2
WAMelbourne City2-0
DHPOT Iraklis1-1
DH1. FC Nürnberg2-2
WHFC Paradiso7-0
LecceWHMonopoli1-0
WHKety Emmi Bistrica5-2
DHNK Istra 19612-2
LHACS Știința Politehnica Timișoara0-1
DASzombathelyi Haladás II0-0
Where to watch
YouTube - SportyNet
DAZN
Premier Sports 2 HD
Arena Sport 1 HR
Premier Sports 2 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Renzo Barbera
City
Palermo
Kickoff
17 Aug, 19:15 UTC
Competition
Coppa Italia
Highlights & clips
Palermo
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Lecce
14
M. Fortin
8.7
↑ 5'
27
N. Pierozzi
7.1
29
P. Peda
9.6
32
P. Ceccaroni
7.5
3
T. Augello
7.6
8
J. Segre
6.7
24
N. Estévez
6.8
↑ 77'
9
D. Vavassori
7.5
23
Hernani
7.0
↑ 46'
7
G. Strefezza
6.9
↑ 62'
21
J. Le Douaron
6.5
↑ 46'
30
W. Falcone
6.2
17
D. Veiga
6.4
4
K. Gaspar
6.6
44
T. Gabriel
6.6
25
A. Gallo
6.4
9
N. Štulić
6.7
↑ 46'
28
O. Gorter
6.8
↑ 74'
34
H. Lærke
7.1
↑ 74'
77
M. Kaba
6.8
↑ 88'
11
N. Konan
6.9
22
P. Esteban
6.3
↑ 84'
Substitutes
66GJ. Joronen↓ 5'
12GM. Nespola
13DM. Bani
84DT. Cassandro
93DF. Barba
10MF. Ranocchia↓ 77'7.4
33MA. Bozzolan
78MF. Balsamo
20FJ. Pohjanpalo↓ 46'7.2
17FD. Johnsen↓ 62'7.1
5FA. Palumbo↓ 46'6.4
Coach: Filippo Inzaghi
Substitutes
33GP. Penev
12GC. Lupo
3DC. Ndaba
18DG. Jean
29ML. Coulibaly↓ 88'6.8
14MY. Maleh↓ 46'6.6
79MO. Ngom↓ 74'6.5
16MO. Gandelman
8MS. Fofana
50FS. Pierotti↓ 74'6.4
69FW. Geubbels↓ 84'5.9
Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Top stats
45%Possession55%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
12Total shots18
5Shots on target4
2Big chances5
2Corners8
Shots
5Shots off target9
2Blocked shots5
9Shots inside box14
3Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed5
Attack
21Touches in box30
31Final third entries55
3Offsides3
9Free kicks12
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
360Passes413
290Accurate passes348
20/50 (40%)Long balls17/39 (44%)
3/9 (33%)Crosses8/32 (25%)
21Throw-ins31
Duels
54Duels46
38/69 (55%)Ground duels31/69 (45%)
14/27 (52%)Aerial duels13/27 (48%)
10/16 (63%)Dribbles6/12 (50%)
7Dispossessed13
Defending
19Tackles13
68Tackles won69
5Interceptions10
26Clearances23
47Recoveries48
Discipline
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
1Big saves0
15Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 65 bookmakers
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.53 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.09 @ betika
1X2Draw 29% · 2.55 @ fonbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.84 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.04 @ Bet365
Who winsPalermo to win (DNB) 58% · 1.67 @ forbet
1X2Lecce to win 30% · 3.53 @ efbet.net
1X2Palermo to win 42% · 2.73 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.47 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ betfair
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.23
Palermo
3.30
Draw
3.13
Lecce
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Palermo or Draw
1.31
Palermo or Lecce
1.60
Draw or Lecce
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.97
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.05
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.29
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.97
Over 2.50
1.78
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.37
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.80
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.60
Palermo ▼
2.24
Lecce ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
4.65
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.53
Over 8.50
2.35
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.89
Over 9.50
1.81
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.50
Over 10.50
1.47
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.65
Over 12.50 ▲
1.14
Under 12.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
6.92
Over 13.50 ▼
1.06
Under 13.50
Corners 1X2consensus
1.91
Palermo
8.00
Draw
2.20
Lecce
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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