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Thorsten Fink
Samsunspor
Göztepe
Samsunspor
4-3-3 · 3-4-1-2
Göztepe
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
358860 EUR · live
Away
250.0 · implied 0.4%
37.3%
+36.9 vs price
Home
60.0 · implied 1.7%
32.4%
+30.7 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
30.3%
-67.7 vs price
Half time
5301 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
45.1%
-54.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
38.0%
+37.9 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
16.9%
+14.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
35512 EUR · live
Over
1.24 · implied 80.6%
50.2%
-30.5 vs price
Under
5.1 · implied 19.6%
49.8%
+30.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7051 EUR · live
Under
1.18 · implied 84.7%
75.6%
-9.2 vs price
Over
6.4 · implied 15.6%
24.4%
+8.8 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
3'
⚽
A. Matos0–1
4'
T. Fink · Argument
17'
A. Matos · Foul
28'
VAR
Penalty check · S. Jarju
28'
Juan · Argument
30'
⚽
M. Mouandilmadji (pen)1–1
43'
⚽
E. Kılınç · assist J. Mendes2–1
Half-time · 2–1
46'
⚽
S. Armstrong2–2
52'
S. Armstrong · Argument
52'
T. Borevković · Argument
55'
VAR
Penalty check · M. Mouandilmadji
56'
Allan · Foul
60'
🔁
Rhaldney ◂ A. Matos
60'
🔁
Janderson ◂ A. Henrique
60'
🔁
E. Bekiroğlu ◂ A. Antunes
61'
🔁
Juan ◂ S. Armstrong
65'
⚽
E. Bekiroğlu · assist Janderson2–3
70'
🔁
F. Kaya ◂ A. Makoumbou
78'
🔁
A. Sekongo ◂ S. Jarju
78'
🔁
S. Onur ◂ Y. Kayan
Full-time · 3–3
90'
⚽
C. Yüksel · assist F. Kaya3–3
90'+2
🔁
O. Bayrak ◂ A. Kurtulan
Coaches
Thorsten FinkStanimir Stoilov 
Recent form
SamsunsporLAKasımpaşa0-3
WAKVC Westerlo2-1
WAAEK Athens2-1
DARAAL La Louvière0-0
LAUSL Dunkerque1-2
GöztepeWHTrabzonspor2-1
DHNK Rudeš1-1
WAZoria Luhansk2-1
WHAl-Dhafra2-1
WALNZ Cherkasy2-0
Match facts
Stadium
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
City
Samsun
Kickoff
17 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Trendyol Super Lig
Highlights & clips
Samsunspor
4-3-3 · 3-4-1-2
Göztepe
1
O. Koçuk
6.1
2
J. Mendes
6.9
24
T. Borevković
6.5
6
A. Diabaté
6.1
17
L. Tómasson
6.1
14
F. Kaya
6.7
↑ 70'
5
C. Yüksel
8.3
8
S. Onur
7.3
↑ 78'
42
A. Sekongo
6.4
↑ 78'
9
M. Mouandilmadji
7.1
11
E. Kılınç
8.1
25
L. Gugeshashvili
5.6
4
T. Altıkardeş
6.3
3
Allan
6.0
13
E. Yildirim
6.3
16
O. Bayrak
↑ 90'
5
Rhaldney
7.0
↑ 60'
20
N. Miroshi
6.8
15
A. Cherni
7.1
10
E. Bekiroğlu
7.7
↑ 60'
9
Juan
6.5
↑ 61'
39
Janderson
6.3
↑ 61'
Substitutes
13GE. Y. Üstün
25GB. Bayazit
34DG. Guarino
23DE. Albak
72DH. M. Tan
20MY. Kayan↓ 78'6.2
29MA. Makoumbou↓ 70'6.1
30FS. Jarju↓ 78'6.6
70FT. Bülbül
Coach: Thorsten Fink
Substitutes
1GA. Özçimen
33GM. Ş. Öztürk
6MA. Matos↓ 60'7.4
2MA. Kurtulan↓ 90'6.8
22FS. Armstrong↓ 61'7.4
8FA. Antunes↓ 60'6.7
7FA. Henrique↓ 61'6.4
17FG. Bayrakdar
11FG. Luiz
Coach: Stanimir Stoilov
Top stats
69%Possession31%
2.8Expected goals (xG)1.71
21Total shots20
3Shots on target7
3Big chances3
4Corners8
Shots
7Shots off target6
11Blocked shots7
14Shots inside box14
7Shots outside box6
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
-0.81Goals prevented-1.71
Attack
30Touches in box27
68Final third entries56
1Offsides1
11Free kicks8
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
509Passes230
408Accurate passes138
24/68 (35%)Long balls20/64 (31%)
8/37 (22%)Crosses6/15 (40%)
19Throw-ins20
Duels
47Duels53
29/60 (48%)Ground duels31/60 (52%)
26/57 (46%)Aerial duels31/57 (54%)
1/9 (11%)Dribbles8/15 (53%)
7Dispossessed10
Defending
17Tackles15
59Tackles won53
7Interceptions15
32Clearances38
52Recoveries53
Discipline
8Fouls13
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
4Saves0
6Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
1X2Draw 29% · 2.61 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.62 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.09 @ betika
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.82 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.05 @ Novibet
1X2Göztepe to win 30% · 3.45 @ efbet.net
Who winsSamsunspor to win (DNB) 58% · 1.70 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.34 @ Betano
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
1X2Samsunspor to win 41% · 2.70 @ Interwetten
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.18
Samsunspor ▲
3.32
Draw
3.24
Göztepe
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Samsunspor or Draw ▲
1.31
Samsunspor or Göztepe
1.64
Draw or Göztepe
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.71
Yes ▲
2.05
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.73
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50 ▲
3.46
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.85
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50 ▲
1.32
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.02
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.61
Samsunspor ▲
2.21
Göztepe ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.16
Over 6.50
4.32
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50
3.17
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.53
Over 8.50
2.31
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50
1.78
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.47
Over 10.50
1.47
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.33
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.51
Over 12.50
1.15
Under 12.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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