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Serkan Özbalta
Erzurumspor FK
Galatasaray
Erzurumspor FK
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Galatasaray
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
544842 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.2%
-9.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.2%
+6.1 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.6%
+4.5 vs price
Half time
14003 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
98.0%
-1.0 vs price
Home
210.0 · implied 0.5%
1.9%
+1.5 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
0.1%
-2.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
64680 EUR · live
Over
1.19 · implied 84.0%
59.9%
-24.1 vs price
Under
6.6 · implied 15.2%
40.1%
+24.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
32965 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
89.8%
-2.8 vs price
Over
14.0 · implied 7.1%
10.2%
+3.1 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
R. Sallai0–1
20'
⚽
Y. Akgün · assist V. Osimhen0–2
Half-time · 0–3
45'
⚽
V. Osimhen0–3
55'
🔁
N. Akhundzade ◂ G. Kerk
66'
🔁
W. Singo ◂ R. Sallai
66'
🔁
E. Elmalı ◂ I. Jakobs
66'
🔁
L. Sané ◂ Y. Akgün
66'
🔁
L. Ugochukwu ◂ M. Lemina
70'
🔁
F. Andrade ◂ E. Tozlu
71'
🔁
F. Ebosele ◂ O. Ovacıklı
76'
🔁
M. Cardoso ◂ M. Rodríguez
76'
🔁
S. Akgün ◂ M. Fettahoglu
79'
⚽
V. Osimhen · assist G. Sara0–4
81'
🔁
R. Nhaga ◂ L. Torreira
84'
N. Akhundzade · Foul
Full-time · 0–4
Coaches
Serkan ÖzbaltaOkan Buruk 
Recent form
Erzurumspor FKLAAmed Sportif Faaliyetler0-3
WHAl Arabi SC Kuwait3-1
DAÇaykur Rizespor0-0
WAAlanyaspor3-2
LHKasımpaşa0-1
GalatasarayDHÇorum FK2-2
LHVillarreal1-2
DHStade Rennais3-3
LHVenezia0-3
LHMonza0-2
Where to watch
TOD
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Sport Klub 3 HR
TOD
Disney+
TOD
TOD
TOD
beIN SPORTS 2
Sport Klub 3 HR
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
Sport TV3
Disney+ Premium Argentina
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
TOD
beIN SPORTS 1
fuboTV
Disney+ Premium Argentina
TOD
Match facts
Stadium
Kazim Karabekir Stadyumu
City
Erzurum
Kickoff
21 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Trendyol Super Lig
Highlights & clips
Erzurumspor FK
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Galatasaray
31
M. Orbanić
5.3
2
F. Ebosele
6.2
↑ 71'
4
A. Gerxhaliu
6.2
3
Y. Kırtay
5.8
18
N. Mujakić
6.1
6
B. Baiye
6.1
8
S. Akgün
6.6
↑ 76'
42
E. Owusu
6.1
20
M. Cardoso
7.0
↑ 76'
90
N. Akhundzade
6.4
↑ 55'
11
F. Andrade
6.6
↑ 70'
1
U. Çakır
8.6
17
E. Elmalı
6.6
↑ 66'
6
D. Sánchez
7.7
42
A. Bardakcı
7.2
90
W. Singo
6.6
↑ 66'
74
R. Nhaga
6.5
↑ 81'
18
L. Ugochukwu
6.8
↑ 66'
10
L. Sané
6.7
↑ 66'
8
G. Sara
6.7
53
B. A. Yılmaz
6.9
45
V. Osimhen
9.3
Top stats
48%Possession52%
0.48Expected goals (xG)3.08
12Total shots10
4Shots on target4
0Big chances4
2Corners2
Shots
3Shots off target4
5Blocked shots2
7Shots inside box9
5Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed1
-0.83Goals prevented0.37
Attack
18Touches in box14
43Final third entries57
2Offsides3
12Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
505Passes536
444Accurate passes483
21/40 (53%)Long balls22/35 (63%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses4/15 (27%)
21Throw-ins14
Duels
52Duels48
40/77 (52%)Ground duels37/77 (48%)
5/10 (50%)Aerial duels5/10 (50%)
11/18 (61%)Dribbles9/19 (47%)
10Dispossessed7
Defending
17Tackles17
41Tackles won71
9Interceptions13
15Clearances8
45Recoveries56
Discipline
11Fouls12
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
7Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 73 bookmakers
Who winsGalatasaray to win (DNB) 64% · 1.22 @ merkurxtip
1X2Galatasaray to win 48% · 1.77 @ merkurxtip
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.20 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 25% · 2.95 @ kto
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.06 @ Bet365
1X2Erzurumspor to win 27% · 7.10 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
7.59
Erzurumspor FK ▲
4.49
Draw ▲
1.40
Galatasaray ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
2.80
Erzurumspor FK or Draw ▲
1.19
Erzurumspor FK or Galatasaray ▼
1.09
Draw or Galatasaray ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.93
Yes ▲
1.79
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.75
YES
1.10
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.05
YES
1.70
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
11.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.34
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50 ▼
3.99
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.71
Over 2.50 ▼
2.08
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.74
Over 3.50 ▲
1.41
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.00
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
5.65
Erzurumspor FK ▼
1.12
Galatasaray ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.04
Over 4.50
12.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.11
Over 5.50
6.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.22
Over 6.50
3.80
Under 6.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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