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Metin Diyadin
Gençlerbirliği
Erzurumspor FK
Gençlerbirliği
4-3-3 · 5-4-1
Erzurumspor FK
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
308178 EUR · live
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
55.5%
-41.6 vs price
Home
26.0 · implied 3.8%
29.0%
+25.2 vs price
Away
32.0 · implied 3.1%
17.2%
+14.1 vs price
Half time
4036 EUR · live
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
64.9%
-26.8 vs price
Home
9.4 · implied 10.6%
19.9%
+9.2 vs price
Away
22.0 · implied 4.5%
15.2%
+10.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
134032 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
85.4%
-9.9 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
14.6%
+10.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1957 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.1%
-4.9 vs price
Over
130.0 · implied 0.8%
5.8%
+5.1 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
45'+1
M. Yumlu · Foul
55'
⚽
E. Tozlu0–1
60'
P. Pereira · Foul
66'
⚽
A. M. Traoré · assist O. Diabate1–1
68'
O. Ülgün · Foul
71'
🔁
S. Uçan ◂ O. Ülgün
71'
🔁
I. Diabaté ◂ E. Tozlu
71'
🔁
M. Cardoso ◂ M. Fettahoglu
80'
🔁
E. Kemaloğlu ◂ S. Koita
82'
E. Owusu · Foul
85'
🔁
N. Akhundzade ◂ M. Rodríguez
85'
🔁
F. Ebosele ◂ O. Ovacıklı
86'
VAR
Goal not given after review · A. M. Traoré
89'
🔁
Y. Kırtay ◂ G. Giorbelidze
Full-time · 1–1
90'+2
🔁
M. Baltacı ◂ T. Gouveia
90'+4
O. Diabate · Foul
90'+6
N. Mujakić · Time wasting
Coaches
Serkan Özbalta 
Recent form
WAGöztepe1-0
WHFenerbahçe2-1
LAKasımpaşa0-3
WATrabzonspor3-0
WHKasımpaşa3-2
LHGalatasaray0-4
LAAmed Sportif Faaliyetler0-3
WHAl Arabi SC Kuwait3-1
DAÇaykur Rizespor0-0
WAAlanyaspor3-2
Where to watch
beIN SPORTS 1
Match facts
Stadium
Eryaman Stadyumu
City
Ankara
Kickoff
28 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Trendyol Super Lig
Highlights & clips
70
İ. C. Eğribayat
6.6
13
P. Pereira
6.7
6
D. Goutas
6.2
4
Ž. Žužek
7.1
77
A. Dursun
6.8
48
S. Uçan
6.7
↑ 71'
42
O. Diabate
7.0
10
F. Tongya
6.9
14
A. M. Traoré
7.6
8
E. Kemaloğlu
6.7
↑ 80'
90
M. Baltacı
↑ 90'
1
E. Taşkıran
7.0
2
F. Ebosele
6.6
↑ 85'
4
A. Gerxhaliu
7.2
22
M. Yumlu
6.5
18
N. Mujakić
6.4
3
Y. Kırtay
6.7
↑ 89'
20
M. Cardoso
6.6
↑ 71'
42
E. Owusu
6.2
6
B. Baiye
6.7
90
N. Akhundzade
6.6
↑ 85'
19
I. Diabaté
6.3
↑ 71'
Substitutes
23GG. Akkan
2DThalisson
88DF. Üzüm
3DY. H. Aydar
35MO. Ülgün↓ 71'6.3
52MG. Erdem
7FT. Gouveia↓ 90'7.5
20FS. Koita↓ 80'6.8
45FP. Martor
17FE. A. Aslan
Coach: Metin Diyadin
Top stats
48%Possession52%
0.8Expected goals (xG)0.97
16Total shots9
5Shots on target4
1Big chances2
3Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target4
5Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box6
9Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.13Goals prevented-0.1
Attack
19Touches in box15
58Final third entries56
2Offsides1
11Free kicks15
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
403Passes454
320Accurate passes365
29/56 (52%)Long balls25/69 (36%)
4/18 (22%)Crosses3/17 (18%)
22Throw-ins23
Duels
56Duels44
30/61 (49%)Ground duels31/61 (51%)
14/17 (82%)Aerial duels3/17 (18%)
7/13 (54%)Dribbles3/6 (50%)
9Dispossessed10
Defending
13Tackles15
77Tackles won73
3Interceptions3
30Clearances21
50Recoveries45
Discipline
15Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
2Big saves0
6Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.75 @ Betway
Who winsGençlerbirliği to win (DNB) 61% · 1.50 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 26% · 2.25 @ Bet365
1X2Gençlerbirliği to win 45% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 1.85 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Erzurumspor to win 29% · 3.75 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.36 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.01
Gençlerbirliği
3.50
Draw
3.20
Erzurumspor FK
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Gençlerbirliği or Draw
1.29
Gençlerbirliği or Erzurumspor FK
1.73
Draw or Erzurumspor FK
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.03
Yes
1.70
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.75
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50
1.95
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.00
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.45
Gençlerbirliği
2.62
Erzurumspor FK
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.10
Over 9.50
1.67
Under 9.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.62
Gençlerbirliği
2.25
Draw
3.75
Erzurumspor FK
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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