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Thorsten Fink
Samsunspor
Fenerbahçe
Samsunspor
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fenerbahçe
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
233577 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.5%
-16.5 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.0%
+11.9 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.6%
+5.5 vs price
Half time
5310 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
98.8%
-0.2 vs price
Home
850.0 · implied 0.1%
0.6%
+0.5 vs price
Draw
790.0 · implied 0.1%
0.6%
+0.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
157585 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
64.4%
-34.7 vs price
Over
27.0 · implied 3.7%
35.7%
+31.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
199 EUR
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
84.4%
-1.1 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
15.1%
+0.8 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
3'
⚽
V. Muriqi · assist O. Aydın0–1
16'
🔁
A. Sekongo ◂ F. Kaya
25'
T. Fink · Argument
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
Y. E. Çift ◂ T. Borevković
49'
⚽
O. Aydın · assist İ. C. Kahveci0–2
63'
🔁
R. Lukaku ◂ V. Muriqi
64'
🔁
İ. Yüksek ◂ M. Greenwood
66'
🔁
A. Sousa ◂ Y. Kayan
70'
R. Lukaku · Foul
78'
🔁
D. Nene ◂ İ. C. Kahveci
86'
🔁
T. Bülbül ◂ S. Jarju
86'
🔁
S. Onur ◂ C. Yüksel
86'
🔁
B. Elmaz ◂ M. Guendouzi
86'
🔁
L. Mercan ◂ O. Aydın
Full-time · 0–2
Coaches
Thorsten Finkİsmail Kartal 
Recent form
SamsunsporWAÇaykur Rizespor2-0
DHGöztepe3-3
LAKasımpaşa0-3
WAKVC Westerlo2-1
WAAEK Athens2-1
FenerbahçeWAOlympique Lyonnais2-1
WHKonyaspor4-2
DHOlympique Lyonnais1-1
LAGençlerbirliği1-2
WASK Sturm Graz1-0
Where to watch
SuperSport 4 Albania
Sport Klub 5 HR
Disney+ Premium Chile
Disney+
Disney+ Premium Chile
Sport Klub 5 HR
Disney+ Premium Chile
Prima Sport 4
Arena Sport 6 SRB
beIN SPORTS 1
Disney+ Premium Sur
Match facts
Stadium
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
City
Samsun
Kickoff
30 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Trendyol Super Lig
Highlights & clips
Samsunspor
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fenerbahçe
1
O. Koçuk
7.3
2
J. Mendes
6.4
22
Y. E. Çift
6.9
↑ 46'
34
G. Guarino
6.9
17
L. Tómasson
6.2
8
S. Onur
6.5
↑ 86'
4
E. Watt
6.9
70
T. Bülbül
6.5
↑ 86'
77
A. Sousa
6.5
↑ 66'
11
E. Kılınç
6.2
42
A. Sekongo
6.8
↑ 16'
31
Ederson
6.7
27
N. Semedo
7.3
37
M. Škriniar
7.4
15
N. Aké
6.6
3
A. Brown
7.5
22
L. Mercan
6.6
↑ 86'
91
N. Kanté
7.4
5
İ. Yüksek
7.1
↑ 64'
45
D. Nene
6.7
↑ 78'
28
B. Elmaz
6.6
↑ 86'
9
R. Lukaku
6.3
↑ 63'
Top stats
58%Possession42%
0.46Expected goals (xG)1.56
6Total shots15
0Shots on target7
0Big chances3
1Corners6
Shots
3Shots off target6
3Blocked shots2
3Shots inside box13
3Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances missed3
0.04Goals prevented0.0
Attack
14Touches in box29
57Final third entries50
3Offsides2
18Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
552Passes404
495Accurate passes345
29/51 (57%)Long balls23/47 (49%)
4/20 (20%)Crosses5/10 (50%)
16Throw-ins10
Duels
40Duels60
30/70 (43%)Ground duels40/70 (57%)
3/13 (23%)Aerial duels10/13 (77%)
4/13 (31%)Dribbles7/12 (58%)
11Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles20
33Tackles won70
3Interceptions11
18Clearances23
50Recoveries53
Discipline
13Fouls18
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves0
2Big saves0
6Goal kicks8
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Fenerbahçe to win 59% · 1.95 @ William Hill
Who winsFenerbahçe to win (DNB) 59% · 1.23 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.87 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.75 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.54 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.85 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.00 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 22% · 2.88 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
1X2Samsunspor to win 19% · 4.75 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.00
Samsunspor
4.20
Draw
1.60
Fenerbahçe
Double Chanceconsensus
2.30
Samsunspor or Draw
1.18
Samsunspor or Fenerbahçe
1.17
Draw or Fenerbahçe
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.70
Yes
2.05
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
5.75
YES
1.10
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
9.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.61
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.47
Over 3.50
1.48
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50
1.19
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.00
Samsunspor
1.20
Fenerbahçe
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.16
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.53
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50
1.98
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Fenerbahçe to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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