Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Kasımpaşa's hosting a hot Amed side, but the hosts' injury crisis might be the real story here.** 🔥 Amed's rolling in with four wins in five, while Kasımpaşa's been drawing everything — steady but uninspired form that could get punished today.
Kasımpaşa's sitting on five consecutive games without a loss, which sounds great until you remember three were draws. Amed, meanwhile, just dismantled Erzurumspor 3-0 at home and knocked off Trabzonspor — they're the in-form team by a mile. The hosts are missing five players to injury though, a rough blow for any side.
Key storylines:
- **Amed's attacking momentum** keeps rolling; they've scored in all four wins and look genuinely dangerous going forward
- **Kasımpaşa's injury list** (Hajradinović, Jessen, Çörekçi out) weakens their depth, especially if they need to grind a result
- **Home comforts vs. form**: Kasımpaşa gets the crowd, but Amed's confidence might trump it
Expected lineups:
- **Kasımpaşa**: A. Gianniotis, Frimpong, A. Arous, M. Ilie, C. Winck, A. Baldursson, K. Demirbay, A. Benedyczak, F. Diabaté, A. Kol, G. Yalçın
- **Amed Sportif Faaliyetler**: A. Lafont, U. Meraş, D. Bates, L. Dellova, M. Yeşil, G. Gül, R. Raveloson, C. Üstündag, E. Krasniqi, G. Orban, S. Ballet
Prediction:
**Amed 2-1 Kasımpaşa.** The visitors' form edge and Kasımpaşa's thin bench give Amed the slight favorite lean here. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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