Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Alanyaspor's looking to keep the home vibes rolling against a Göztepe side that's been bleeding goals.** The hosts have won twice at Bahcesehir in their last few, while Göztepe are in freefall — three losses in their last five with a brutal defensive record. 🔴
Alanyaspor sit solid on 2W–1D–2L form, grinding out wins on home turf. Göztepe, meanwhile, are barely holding on at 1W–1D–3L, getting picked apart in recent matches (conceded 7 in their last three). The head-to-head leans Alanyaspor's way too — 4 wins to 3 in the last 14 meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Göztepe's injury crisis** — five muscle injuries including key players leaves them paper-thin for the trip to Alanya
- **H. Ui-Jo and İ. Kaya** spearheading Alanyaspor's attack on home turf where they've been clinical
- **Defensive collapse risk** — Göztepe's back line is a revolving door; **İ. Kaya** and **G. Makouta** should feast
Expected lineups:
- **Alanyaspor**: P. Victor, F. Aliti, N. Lima, Ü. Akdağ, F. Aksoy, B. Özyurt, H. Ui-Jo, İ. Kaya, M. Elia
- **Göztepe**: A. Özçimen, T. Altıkardeş, E. Yildirim, Rhaldney, A. Henrique, Janderson, Juan
Prediction: **3-1 Alanyaspor** 🎯
The hosts have the edge in form, fixtures, and squad health. Back Alanyaspor at home.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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