Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Eyüpspor host Çaykur Rizespor in a straight-up form clash — one's been inconsistent at home, the other's quietly built some momentum.** 🔥
Eyüpspor are 2W-3L in their last five, with a rough outing against Çorum FK sandwiched between wins. Çaykur Rizespor, meanwhile, have won three of their past five despite a heavy loss to Samsunspor. The H2H tells the story: Rize have dominated recently, picking up three wins in the last four meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Eyüpspor's home troubles** — they've leaked goals at the Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium and are without creative spark A. Sabiri (muscle injury)
- **Çaykur Rizespor's attacking form** — E. Bulut and A. Mebude spearhead an in-form unit that's won three of five
- **Rize's H2H edge** — Çaykur have the mental game locked in against this opponent, a big intangible going in
Expected lineups:
- **Eyüpspor**: H. Moldovan, Z. Jules, T. Ülvan, J. El Yamiq, S. Giordano, C. R. Yao, K. Michalak, D. Costa, L. Pintor, A. Abdullahi
- **Çaykur Rizespor**: Y. Fofana, M. Sagnan, A. Mocsi, Z. Ariss, M. Pala, Q. Laci, A. Kutucu, A. Sowe, T. Antalyalı, E. Bulut, A. Mebude
Prediction: **Çaykur Rizespor 1–1 Eyüpspor** — slight lean toward the visitors, but Eyüpspor should scrap at home.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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