Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
Metin Diyadin
Gençlerbirliği
Kasımpaşa**Gençlerbirliği's home fortress gets tested by a draw-machine** — the hosts are slight favorites on their patch, but Kasımpaşa's stubborn defense (3D in last 5) means a stalemate wouldn't shock. 🏟️
Gençlerbirliği bounced back with a win at Göztepe after that brutal 0-5 hiding from Trabzonspor, while Kasımpaşa's kept grinding with draws sprinkled in. H2H leans decisively toward the hosts, who've won 10 of their last 25 meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Gençlerbirliği's attacking cohesion** hinges on **S. Koita** and **S. Uçan** linking play, with K. Rodrigues unavailable.
- **Kasımpaşa's injury woes** — five players out (including **J. Jessen** and **T. Diarra**) — severely hamper their depth, especially in midfield.
- Home advantage and historical edge give **Gençlerbirliği** the slight lean, though Kasımpaşa's draw culture makes them a tough out.
Expected lineups:
- **Gençlerbirliği**: İ. C. Eğribayat, A. Dursun, D. Goutas, Ž. Žužek, S. Koita, O. Ülgün, S. Uçan, A. M. Traoré
- **Kasımpaşa**: A. Gianniotis, A. Karapo, A. Arous, M. Ilie, A. Benedyczak, K. Demirbay, F. Diabaté, G. Yalçın
Prediction:
**Gençlerbirliği 2-1 Kasımpaşa.** Home form + depleted visitors = a lean toward the hosts, but Kasımpaşa will make life uncomfortable. ⚽
Gençlerbirliği
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Kasımpaşa
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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