Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Kasımpaşa's rolling and Konyaspor is stumbling** — the Istanbul hosts are the clear favorites here, unbeaten in five while their visitors have won just once in the same stretch. 🔥
Kasımpaşa's draw-heavy run (three in their last four) suggests they can be stubborn at the back, but form favors them decisively. Konyaspor's 1W–4L run is alarming, and the head-to-head tells the story: **Kasımpaşa hold the edge with 5 wins to Konyaspor's 13**, though 12 draws show both sides know how to cancel each other out.
Key storylines:
- **K. Demirbay** and **A. Mujde** will anchor Kasımpaşa's midfield; the hosts need to control tempo and exploit Konyaspor's poor form
- Konyaspor's **M. Jevtović** and **R. Tóth** carry the creative weight for a side desperately needing a spark
- **J. Rak-Sakyi** and **A. Baldursson** offer Kasımpaşa's attacking threat in a lineup bolstered by depth; Konyaspor missing **M. Ibrahimoglu** weakens their build
Expected lineups:
- **Kasımpaşa**: A. Gianniotis, A. Karapo, M. Ilie, C. Winck, K. Demirbay, A. Mujde, J. Rak-Sakyi, A. Baldursson
- **Konyaspor**: B. H. Güngördü, A. Boşluk, A. Demirbağ, Y. Andzouana, M. Jevtović, R. Tóth, D. Gonçalves, J. Muleka
Prediction:
**Kasımpaşa 2–0 Konyaspor**. Home form, fixture pedigree, and Konyaspor's injury woes tilt this one decisively toward the Istanbulites.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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