Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Kocaelispor's riding a three-game winning streak at home, but Gaziantep arrive with zero losses in their last three.** This is a proper Super Lig scrap between an in-form home side and visitors who've been hard to break down. 🔥
Kocaelispor are clicking — three wins in five with back-to-back home victories over Samsunspor and Konyaspor. Gaziantep, though, drew with Fenerbahçe and just blasted Göztepe 4-2; they're battle-tested and solid defensively despite being without five key players to injury.
Key storylines:
- **Kocaelispor's home form** could be the difference — they've won twice at the Yildiz Entegre, and momentum matters
- **Gaziantep's injury crisis** (five players sidelined) forces them to patch things together; depth will be tested
- **Head-to-head split** — these sides have won one each in their last two meetings, so no obvious edge
Expected lineups:
- **Kocaelispor**: S. Öztaşdelen, A. Dijksteel, T. Zoukrou, M. Haïdara, M. Baku, Show, M. Susoho, F. Ayé, B. Kutlu, D. Agyei
- **Gaziantep FK**: K. Tobiasz, K. Çalhanoğlu, M. Abena, A. Kızıldağ, L. Pérez, K. Kozłowski, A. Maxim, H. Dervişoğlu, J. Bacuna, S. Hansen
Prediction:
**Kocaelispor 2-1 Gaziantep FK** — home advantage and hot form edge out a stretched-thin visitors side.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.