Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Trabzonspor roll in as heavy favorites, but Samsunspor have nothing to lose and everything to prove at home.** This is a classic David vs Goliath setup in the Süper Lig. 🏟️
Samsunspor are genuinely struggling—just one win in five with a 1-5 drubbing to Çorum fresh in the memory. Trabzonspor look better on paper, but they're also inconsistent; they've lost twice recently despite that 4-0 demolition of Galatasaray. The visitor's injury list is real, though—missing four players including key depth.
Key storylines:
- **Trabzonspor's depth under fire**: Without O. Çevikkan, R. Malinovskyi, T. Jabol-Folcarelli, and U. Nayir, the midfield and attack have to shuffle around.
- **Samsunspor at home desperation**: One win in five is rock-bottom form; E. Watt and E. Kılınç need to spark something creative to compete.
- **Historical edge favors Trabzonspor**: 28 wins vs 11 in the last 48 meetings, but form sheets are flat right now.
Expected lineups:
- **Samsunspor**: O. Koçuk, L. Tómasson, G. Guarino, S. Eraković, J. Mendes, Y. Kayan, C. Yüksel, E. Watt, E. Kılınç, F. Kaya, S. Jarju
- **Trabzonspor**: A. Onana, S. L. Cabral, C. Nwaiwu, C. Özkaçar, W. Pina, Fabinho, O. Tufan, N. Saviolo, E. Muçi, M. Salah, P. Onuachu
Prediction:
**Trabzonspor 2-0 Samsunspor**. Visitor's class and experience should break through despite the injury headaches. 💯
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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