Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Kocaelispor's back at home looking to keep rolling, but Göztepe's drawn twice in a row and won't come quietly** ⚽
Kocaelispor sit pretty with 3 wins in their last 5, though they're missing four players to injury heading into this one. Göztepe have been patchy — a stunning 4-0 win over Eyüpspor mixed with draws against Rizespor and Alanyaspor suggests inconsistency. The head-to-head favors the home side big time: 5 wins in the last 10 meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Kocaelispor's injury woes**: Missing Jovanović, Petković, Haïdara, and Zoukrou is a blow to depth, but Show and Baku remain creative forces in midfield
- **Göztepe's defensive shape**: The 3-4-1-2 formation with Akonnor, Altıkardeş, and Bokele needs to hold firm against Kocaelispor's attacking outlets
- **Home fortress**: Kocaelispor are unbeaten at Turka Araç Muayene and that record should count for something
Expected lineups:
- **Kocaelispor**: Öztaşdelen, Cinan, Maglica, Ortakaya, Dijksteel, Susoho, Show, Kutlu, Baku, Agyei, Sousa
- **Göztepe**: Özçimen, Akonnor, Altıkardeş, Bokele, Bayrak, Kurtulan, Rhaldney, Miroshi, Juan, Henrique, Antunes
Prediction:
**Kocaelispor 2–1 Göztepe**
The hosts have the edge in form and history at this ground. Expect a tight match, but Kocaelispor should edge it.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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