Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Alanyaspor's home form meets Kocaelispor's injury crisis** — this looks like a chance for the hosts to bounce back after that brutal Fenerbahçe thrashing. 🔵
Alanyaspor have steadied the ship with two wins in five, while Kocaelispor are in real trouble: three losses in their last five and missing four key players through injury. The visitors have shown glimpses (beat Gaziantep 2-0 recently) but consistency is nowhere to be found.
Key storylines:
- **Alanyaspor** need to convert home advantage into points; drawing with Erzurumspor showed they can grind but haven't found rhythm yet
- **Kocaelispor's** injury list (A. Jovanović, B. Petković, M. Haïdara, T. Zoukrou all out) leaves their midfield and defence stretched thin
- The H2H is level at 1-1, but Alanyaspor's recent form and home turf give them the edge 🏟️
Expected lineups:
- **Alanyaspor**: P. Victor, F. Aliti, F. Aksoy, I. Hagi, B. Özyurt, G. Makouta, F. Hadergjonaj, P. Fernandes
- **Kocaelispor**: S. Öztaşdelen, E. Ortakaya, U. K. Yıldız, A. Dijksteel, B. Kutlu, Show, M. Susoho
Prediction:
**Alanyaspor 2-0 Kocaelispor**. The injury-hit visitors are vulnerable, and Alanyaspor's home support should see them through with a comfortable win.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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