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S. Ozbalta
Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FK
Erzurumspor FK
Erzurumspor FK
Gaziantep FK
Erzurumspor FK
Gaziantep FK
Orhan Ak
Gaziantep FK
Erzurumspor FK
Gaziantep FK
4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2
Erzurumspor FK
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Gaziantep FK 1-3 Erzurumspor FK.
90+4'
Goal! Gaziantep FK 1-3 Erzurumspor FK. G. Giorbelidze (Erzurumspor FK) scores, assisted by M. Fettahoglu.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
90'
S. Ozbalta
Yellow card for S. Ozbalta (Erzurumspor FK) for argument.
83'
Gaziantep FK
Corner, Gaziantep FK.
81'
Gaziantep FK
Corner, Gaziantep FK.
67'
Gaziantep FK
Corner, Gaziantep FK.
64'
Goal! Gaziantep FK 0-2 Erzurumspor FK. A. Gerxhaliu (Erzurumspor FK) scores, assisted by O. Ovacıklı.
56'
Gaziantep FK
Corner, Gaziantep FK.
52'
Goal! Gaziantep FK 0-1 Erzurumspor FK. M. Cardoso (Erzurumspor FK) scores, assisted by E. Tozlu.
50'
Erzurumspor FK
Corner, Erzurumspor FK.
48'
Erzurumspor FK
Offside, Erzurumspor FK.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Gaziantep FK 0-0 Erzurumspor FK.
45+1'
Gaziantep FK
Corner, Gaziantep FK.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
42'
Attempt missed. E. Tozlu (Erzurumspor FK), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.
10'
Attempt missed. M. Cardoso (Erzurumspor FK), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.
8'
Erzurumspor FK
Corner, Erzurumspor FK.
6'
Gaziantep FK
Offside, Gaziantep FK.
1'
Kick-off: Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
141609 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
51.7%
-47.3 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
29.4%
+29.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
18.8%
+18.7 vs price
Half time
1 EUR
Draw
2.28 · implied 43.9%
63.2%
+19.3 vs price
Home
3.2 · implied 31.2%
44.1%
+12.9 vs price
Away
4.3 · implied 23.3%
36.5%
+13.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
15566 EUR · live
Under
2.5 · implied 40.0%
73.7%
+33.7 vs price
Over
1.65 · implied 60.6%
27.2%
-33.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
27 EUR
Over
9.6 · implied 10.4%
100.0%
+89.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
29'
🔁
Y. Kırtay ◂ M. Yumlu
41'
M. Abena · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
S. Dursun ◂ T. Stewart
46'
🔁
A. Kızıldağ ◂ M. Abena
52'
⚽
M. Cardoso · assist E. Tozlu0–1
58'
🔁
S. Destici ◂ A. Kızıldağ
64'
⚽
A. Gerxhaliu · assist O. Ovacıklı0–2
70'
⚽
O. Ovacıklı1–2
74'
🔁
K. Gassama ◂ J. Bacuna
77'
🔁
M. Fettahoglu ◂ M. Cardoso
77'
🔁
I. Diabaté ◂ E. Tozlu
79'
🔁
H. Dervişoğlu ◂ D. Camara
84'
🔁
G. Kerk ◂ M. Rodríguez
86'
K. Kozłowski · Argument
Full-time · 1–3
90'
S. Ozbalta · Argument
90'+4
⚽
G. Giorbelidze · assist M. Fettahoglu1–3
Coaches
Orhan AkSerkan Özbalta 
Recent form
Gaziantep FKLABaşakşehir FK1-2
LHÇorum FK0-3
LAKocaelispor0-2
DHFenerbahçe0-0
WAGöztepe4-2
Erzurumspor FKWHEyüpspor2-0
DAAlanyaspor0-0
WHSamsunspor1-0
LABeşiktaş JK0-3
WHKonyaspor1-0
About this match
**Gaziantep hosts a resurgent Erzurumspor side desperate to climb the table** — and the hosts are in real trouble right now. 📉
Gaziantep have won just once in five and shipped 7 goals in their last three outings at home. Erzurumspor, by contrast, are purring with three wins in their last five and genuinely look like the tougher proposition here. The visitors' defensive shape (5-4-1) also suggests they know exactly how to stifle a struggling attack.
Key storylines:
- **Gaziantep's wastefulness**: H. Dervişoğlu and D. Sorescu have to find the net or this becomes a rout. Recent form says they won't.
- **Erzurumspor's road confidence**: Three wins in five, including impressive displays away from home. E. Tozlu and S. Akgün offer real threat on the break.
- **Missing F. Bavuk**: Gaziantep lose defensive depth at a time they can least afford it.
Expected lineups:
- **Gaziantep FK**: K. Tobiasz, L. Pérez, A. Kızıldağ, M. Abena, K. Çalhanoğlu, K. Kozłowski, A. Maxim, U. Meleke, G. Ntino-Emo, D. Sorescu, H. Dervişoğlu
- **Erzurumspor FK**: E. Taşkıran, O. Ovacıklı, M. Rodríguez, M. Yumlu, N. Mujakić, A. Gerxhaliu, G. Giorbelidze, E. Owusu, S. Akgün, B. Baiye, E. Tozlu
Prediction:
**Erzurumspor 2–0 Gaziantep**. The hosts' defensive vulnerability and Erzurumspor's clinical form give the visitors a clear edge. 🎯
Match facts
Stadium
Gaziantep Stadium
City
Gaziantep
Referee
Kickoff
24 Oct, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Trendyol Super Lig
Highlights & clips
Gaziantep FK
4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2
Erzurumspor FK
25
K. Tobiasz
5.6
2
L. Pérez
6.0
4
A. Kızıldağ
6.4
↑ 46'
21
A. Sylla
7.1
23
K. Çalhanoğlu
6.4
17
K. Gassama
6.4
↑ 74'
18
D. Sorescu
6.6
28
H. Dervişoğlu
6.5
↑ 79'
44
A. Maxim
7.0
10
K. Kozłowski
6.0
19
S. Dursun
6.3
↑ 46'
1
E. Taşkıran
7.4
53
O. Ovacıklı
7.1
4
A. Gerxhaliu
7.9
3
Y. Kırtay
6.5
↑ 29'
18
N. Mujakić
6.7
15
G. Giorbelidze
7.4
6
B. Baiye
6.7
42
E. Owusu
7.2
9
G. Kerk
6.9
↑ 84'
99
M. Fettahoglu
7.6
↑ 77'
19
I. Diabaté
6.5
↑ 77'
Substitutes
35GA. Dadakdeniz
14DM. Abena↓ 46'7.0
77DS. Destici↑ 58'5.9
5DE. Sarıkaya
83DM. Müjdeci
3MD. Camara↓ 79'6.8
7MJ. Bacuna↓ 74'6.5
8MG. Ntino-Emo
11MM. Cihan
9FT. Stewart↓ 46'6.8
Coach: Orhan Ak
Substitutes
31GM. Orbanić
22DM. Yumlu↓ 29'6.8
2DF. Ebosele
23DC. Bayrak
20MM. Cardoso↓ 77'7.8
65MM. Rodríguez↓ 84'6.4
8MS. Akgün
77ML. Agyekum
10FE. Tozlu↓ 77'6.9
90FN. Akhundzade
Coach: Serkan Özbalta
Top stats
62%Possession38%
1.6Expected goals (xG)1.2
21Total shots10
7Shots on target3
0Big chances4
5Corners2
Shots
9Shots off target6
5Blocked shots1
14Shots inside box6
7Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed1
-0.63Goals prevented0.51
Attack
30Touches in box18
84Final third entries38
1Offsides2
7Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
600Passes378
537Accurate passes300
34/47 (72%)Long balls24/60 (40%)
6/32 (19%)Crosses3/15 (20%)
31Throw-ins25
Duels
37Duels63
18/58 (31%)Ground duels40/58 (69%)
10/17 (59%)Aerial duels7/17 (41%)
4/14 (29%)Dribbles10/13 (77%)
11Dispossessed5
Defending
8Tackles21
75Tackles won67
9Interceptions12
15Clearances28
47Recoveries41
Discipline
10Fouls7
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves7
5Goal kicks10
2Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsGaziantep to win (DNB) 65% · 1.75 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.37 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.30 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.29 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
1X2Erzurumspor to win 32% · 3.30 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Gaziantep to win 39% · 2.75 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.40
Gaziantep FK
3.20
Draw
2.89
Erzurumspor FK
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Gaziantep FK or Draw
1.33
Gaziantep FK or Erzurumspor FK
1.53
Draw or Erzurumspor FK
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.77
Yes
1.95
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
3.10
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.08
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.73
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.74
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.73
Gaziantep FK
2.00
Erzurumspor FK
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.40
Over 7.50
2.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.76
Over 8.50
1.97
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.24
Over 9.50
1.57
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.04
Over 10.50
1.29
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.30
Over 11.50
1.15
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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