Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Samsunspor are in free fall, and Amed are rolling** — this feels like a classic trap game for the visitors, but Amed's form is genuinely spicy right now. 🔥
Samsun have lost all five of their last matches and are leaking goals at home. Amed, meanwhile, just beat Beşiktaş and are sitting on back-to-back unbeaten runs. The hosts need a circuit-breaker badly; the guests smell blood.
Key storylines:
- **Samsunspor's defensive crisis** — conceding 8 goals in the last three games, with **O. Koçuk** under serious pressure in goal
- **Amed's attacking threat** — **E. Krasniqi** and **G. Orban** have been clinical up front; they've won three of their last four
- **Home form collapse** — Samsun haven't won at the Yeni 19 Mayıs in ages; Amed thrive on the road
Expected lineups:
- **Samsunspor**: O. Koçuk, L. Tómasson, G. Guarino, Y. E. Çift, J. Mendes, Y. Kayan, E. Watt, S. Jarju, M. Bayo
- **Amed Sportif Faaliyetler**: A. Lafont, U. Meraş, D. Bates, M. Yeşil, S. Ballet, R. Raveloson, F. Soyalp, E. Krasniqi, G. Orban
Prediction:
**Amed 2–1 Samsunspor**
Amed have the lean here — Samsun's defensive fragility is too tempting to ignore, even on home turf.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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