Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Kasımpaşa host Beşiktaş in a heavyweight clash with serious relegation overtones** — both teams are 3W-1D-1L over five, but only one can keep the momentum rolling. 🔥
Beşiktaş arrive as clear favorites on paper (18 h2h wins vs. Kasımpaşa's 9), yet they're dealing with four injury absences including **Miretti**, **Rashica**, **Akdağ**, and **Cerný**. Kasımpaşa's only notable absence is **Çörekçi**, and they've been clinical at home — **4-1** shellacking of Samsunspor is the vibe.
Key storylines:
- **Ndidi** anchoring Beşiktaş midfield without their wing reinforcements; massive workload
- **Benedyczak** leading the Kasımpaşa press up top against a patched-up Black Eagles back line
- Home advantage at Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium — Kasımpaşa thrive here, while Beşiktaş are vulnerable to pressure
Expected lineups:
- **Kasımpaşa**: Gianniotis, Karapo, Ilie, Arous, Winck, Demirbay, Mendes, Benedyczak, Hajradinović, Rak-Sakyi, Yalçın
- **Beşiktaş JK**: Nübel, Yılmaz, Agbadou, Topçu, Murillo, Ndidi, Trossard, Özcan, Kökçü, Olaitan, Vlahović
Prediction:
**1-1 draw** — Kasımpaşa's home form meets Beşiktaş's defensive steel, but the injury pile-up keeps this tight and tense. Lean toward a stalemate. ⚽
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.