Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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Robert Vilahamn
Portland Thorns FC
Washington Spirit**Portland heads home on a roll while Washington's misfiring — classic Thorns dominance setup.** 🔥
Portland's won 3 of their last 5 and notched back-to-back home wins; Washington have managed just 1 win in their last 5 and lost twice at home to start the season. The Thorns own this fixture historically and have the momentum edge here.
Key storylines:
- **Portland's attacking firepower** (O. Moultrie, S. Smith, P. Tordin) faces a **Washington defense** that's leaked goals in three straight matches
- **J. Fleming and S. Harvey** shield the Thorns midfield well; can they control the tempo against **T. Rodman's** lone pivot?
- **M. Arnold** in goal has been solid, but Washington's **S. Cantore** and **R. Bernal** need service to threaten
Expected lineups:
- **Portland Thorns FC**: M. Arnold, M. A. Vignola, J. Perry, S. Hiatt, M. McKenzie, J. Fleming, S. Harvey, M. Weaver, O. Moultrie, S. Smith, P. Tordin
- **Washington Spirit**: S. MacIver, K. Wiesner, T. McKeown, E. Morgan, G. Carle, T. Rodman, L. Santos, H. Hershfelt, P. Metayer, R. Bernal, S. Cantore
Prediction:
**Portland 2–0 Washington.** Thorns lean heavily with home form, attacking depth, and a Spirit side struggling to find their feet. 🟡
Portland Thorns FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Washington Spirit
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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