Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Seattle's home fortress meets a Wave side that's been absolutely clinical in attack** — this could get spicy. 🔥 Reign are unbeaten at Lumen Field, but San Diego's scored 8 goals in their last two wins and won't be intimidated.
Reign have the historical edge and home comfort, but Wave are *sharp* right now. Seattle's defense (including **P. McClernon** and **E. Mason**) will need to be sharp; San Diego's front three of **M. Barcenas**, **T. Wynalda**, and **G. Portilho** have been prolific.
Key storylines:
- **Seattle's midfield** of **S. Meza** and **S. M. Menti** tasked with controlling tempo against Wave's **L. Fazer**, **G. Corley**, and **L. Godfrey**
- **Reign attacking threat** from **B. Ratcliffe** and **A. McCammon** vs a Wave backline featuring **K. Wesley** and **K. McNabb**
- Home-field dominance on the line — Seattle unbeaten at Lumen, Wave riding hot form
Expected lineups:
- **Seattle Reign FC**: C. Dickey, M. Curry, P. McClernon, E. Mason, S. Huerta, S. M. Menti, S. Meza, B. Ratcliffe, A. McCammon, M. Fishel, M. Mercado
- **San Diego Wave FC**: S. Paños, P. Morroni, K. Wesley, K. McNabb, A. V. Zanten, L. Fazer, G. Corley, L. Godfrey, M. Barcenas, T. Wynalda, G. Portilho
Prediction:
**2-1 Seattle.** Home turf and that H2H record give Reign a slight edge, but Wave will test them hard. Close one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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