Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
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**North Carolina hosts New Jersey in a heavyweight NWSL showdown**, and the Courage have the vibes — they've absolutely dominated the head-to-head and are playing at home in front of their own crowd. 🔴
Courage form is spicy: two losses sandwiching a *6-0 demolition* of Chicago, so inconsistency is the story. Gotham, meanwhile, has steadied the ship with draws and a win, but that 0-3 spanking from Denver is a worry.
Key storylines:
- **North Carolina's** 16-win cushion over Gotham in the H2H is impossible to ignore — the Courage own this fixture
- **Rose Lavelle** and **Jess Carter** anchoring Gotham's midfield and defence will need to be clinical; no room for slop against this attacking setup
- **Samantha Koyama** and **Erica Ijeh** spearheading North Carolina's attack at home — the home crowd will lift them
Expected lineups:
- **North Carolina Courage**: K. Sheridan, F. Rauch, M. Bell, U. Shiragaki, R. Jackson, E. Parkinson, C. Okafor, A. Sanchez, S. Koyama, E. Ijeh
- **NJ/NY Gotham FC**: A. Berger, G. Reiten, T. Davidson, J. Carter, Bruninha, R. Lavelle, J. Howell, S. McCaskill, J. Shaw, S. Kerr, M. Purce
Prediction:
**Courage 2-1 Gotham**. Home advantage + historical edge gives North Carolina a slight lean in a close one. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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