Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Spirit looking to bounce back at home after a brutal loss — but Angel City's rolling hot right now.** 🔥 Washington got hammered 3-0 by Boston last time out, while the visitors have won four of their last five. This is a **classic form vs. home advantage** clash.
Spirit need to rediscover their teeth on their own pitch — they beat Portland away but look shaky lately. Angel City, meanwhile, are the form team and won't fear the road after dismantling Utah and Seattle back-to-back.
Key storylines:
- **Spirit's defense** (McKeown, Morgan, Carle) has to tighten up after conceding three to Boston; Angel City's attack is clinical right now
- **Metayer and Sullivan** controlling midfield tempo will be crucial for Washington to slow down a slick Angel City transition game
- **Sentnor and Borges** leading the line for Angel City have momentum — they'll probe for early chances
Expected lineups:
- **Washington Spirit**: MacIver, Wiesner, McKeown, Morgan, Carle, Sullivan, Hershfelt, Metayer, Kouassi, Cantore, Rodman
- **Angel City FC**: Anderson, Shores, Gorden, Sams, Thompson, Lageyre, Martin, Suarez, Borges, Chilufya, Sentnor
Prediction:
**1-1 draw.** Spirit grab a goal at home but can't fully shake off Angel City's form — a point feels fair for both sides.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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