Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Portland's rolling hot, Houston's in freefall** — the Thorns have won two of their last three at home while the Dash are limping into Providence Park with just one win in five. 🔥
Form tells the story here. Portland's defensive shape looks sharp (that 4-1 away win over Orlando was *chef's kiss*), while Houston's leaky backline has shipped goals in bunches. The Dash need a response, but timing couldn't be worse.
Key storylines:
- **Portland's frontline firepower** — S. Smith and O. Moultrie are clicking in attack, and Houston's D will be tested early and often
- **Houston's defensive fragility** — L. M. Klenke and the back four have been exposed repeatedly; they can't afford another slugfest
- **Midfield battle** — J. Fleming's work rate for Portland vs. Houston's D. Colaprico and M. Graham will decide possession flow
Expected lineups:
- **Portland Thorns FC**: M. Arnold, M. A. Vignola, C. Calzada, J. Perry, R. Reyes, J. Fleming, N. Nijstad, C. Hanks, O. Moultrie, P. Tordin, S. Smith
- **Houston Dash**: J. Campbell, A. Chapman, L. M. Klenke, P. Nielsen, A. Patterson, D. Colaprico, M. Graham, K. v. Zanten, L. Ullmark, K. Faasse, K. A. Rader
Prediction:
**Portland 2–0 Houston**
Home field advantage + current form gives Portland a clear edge here.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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