Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Utah and North Carolina are both limping into this one** — identical 2W–3L form over their last five means whoever shows up sharper on Sunday could swung this wide open. 🔥
Both sides have been wild inconsistent: Utah spanked 3–0 at home by Angel City but scraped a gutsy away win at Houston, while North Carolina bounced between a 6–0 demolition of Chicago and back-to-back losses to top teams. The H2H is dead even over five meetings (2–2–1), so there's zero rhythm to lean on here.
Key storylines:
- **M. McGlynn** will need to be solid between the sticks — Utah's defense shipped three at home recently and North Carolina's attack has dangerous days
- **E. Ijeh** and **L. Thompson** spearhead a Courage front that can catch fire (see: 6–0), but consistency is the real question
- Both midfields are packed with ball-winners (**D. P. Louis**, **E. Parkinson**, **S. Koyama**) — this could be a scrap
Expected lineups:
- **Utah Royals FC**: M. McGlynn, N. Rábano, K. D. Fava, K. Riehl, M. Moriya, D. P. Louis, N. Miura, M. Hammond, C. Lacasse, M. Tanaka, C. Kizer
- **North Carolina Courage**: K. Sheridan, F. Rauch, N. Staude, M. Bell, R. Williams, E. Parkinson, S. Koyama, C. Okafor, A. Sanchez, L. Thompson, E. Ijeh
Prediction:
**1–1 draw** leans hardest here — both teams are volatile enough to score, neither consistent enough to close it out. Coin flip vibes all day. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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