Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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Jaime Frias
Houston Dash
Washington Spirit**Houston's looking to steady the ship, but Washington's got momentum**—the Spirit have won three of their last five and hold a commanding H2H edge over the Dash. 🔥
Houston are in rough form (1W-1D-3L), while Washington arrived hot with that 3-0 demolition job and are the clear favorites on the road.
Key storylines:
- **Washington's defense** has tightened lately; Houston will need **K. A. Rader** and the attack to click early or risk getting picked apart
- **Houston's midfield** (Graham, Colaprico) has to control tempo and limit the space for **R. Kouassi** and **P. Metayer** to operate
- **Spirit's road form** is the real story—they've found a rhythm away from home and look dangerous
Expected lineups:
- **Houston Dash**: J. Campbell, A. Chapman, L. M. Klenke, P. Nielsen, A. Patterson, M. Graham, D. Colaprico, K. v. Zanten, L. Ullmark, K. Faasse, K. A. Rader
- **Washington Spirit**: S. MacIver, K. Wiesner, T. McKeown, E. Morgan, G. Carle, A. Sullivan, H. Hershfelt, P. Metayer, R. Kouassi, S. Cantore, T. Rodman
Prediction:
**Washington 2–0 Houston**. Spirit's offensive rhythm meets Houston's thin defensive form—Washington edges through with a clean sheet.
Houston Dash
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Washington Spirit
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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