Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Two playoff-sharpened sides clash for NWSL positioning**, and you're looking at a **Spirit side riding momentum at home** against a Gotham crew that's been equally clinical. 📌
Washington are humming after back-to-back wins, including a road upset over Houston. Gotham countered a draw with a statement 3-1 hammering of Chicago, so both teams bring swagger into this one.
Key storylines:
- **Rose Lavelle & Gotham's midfield** need to dictate tempo early; if they don't, Spirit's **Hannah Hershfelt** and co. will run the show at Audi Field
- **Tierna Davidson and Emily Morgan** are the defensive lynchpins — every set piece and transition will go through them
- **Sophia Smith and Midge Purce** are the spark plugs in attack; whichever pair finds space first likely sets the tone 🔥
Expected lineups:
- **Washington Spirit**: MacIver, Wiesner, McKeown, Morgan, Carle, Ngock, Hershfelt, Sullivan, Kouassi, Cantore, Rodman
- **NJ/NY Gotham FC**: Berger, Reiten, Davidson, Carter, Dudley, Lavelle, Howell, McCaskill, Shaw, Kerr, Purce
Prediction:
**2-1 Spirit**. Home edge + recent form gives Washington a slight favorite lean; Gotham's quality keeps it tight.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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