Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**North Carolina hosts San Diego in a clash of drastically different form — the Courage are searching for consistency while Wave arrive on an absolute tear.** 🔥
NC's mixed bag (2W-3L) stands in stark contrast to San Diego's dominant run (4W-1L). The head-to-head tells a tighter story though — Wave edge it 4-2-3 historically, so expect a scrappy, competitive 90 minutes at WakeMed.
Key storylines:
- **San Diego's attacking momentum** has been relentless; they'll lean on **M. Barcenas** and **B. Bonansea** to keep the pressure high
- **North Carolina's defensive shape**, anchored by **F. Rauch** and **N. Staude**, will need to stay disciplined against Wave's pace and pressing
- **R. Jackson** and **E. Parkinson** in midfield must disrupt San Diego's rhythm early or Courage risk being overrun
Expected lineups:
- **North Carolina Courage**: K. Sheridan, F. Rauch, N. Staude, U. Shiragaki, R. Williams, S. Koyama, E. Parkinson, R. Jackson, A. Sanchez, E. Ijeh, L. Thompson
- **San Diego Wave FC**: S. Paños, P. Morroni, K. Wesley, K. McNabb, A. V. Zanten, K. Dali, L. Godfrey, G. Corley, M. Barcenas, T. P. Byars, B. Bonansea
Prediction:
**San Diego 2-1 North Carolina** — Wave's form and the H2H record give them the edge, but Courage should scrap hard at home.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.