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Juan Manuel Pavon Dominguez
Lincoln Red Imps
Mjällby AIF
Lincoln Red Imps
3-5-2 · 3-4-3
Mjällby AIF
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Highlights 1 clip
Match events
32'
T. Pettersson · Foul
39'
Á. Samuelsen · Foul
42'
Toni · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
J. Kjaer ◂ A. Youssef
46'
🔁
Á. Mula ◂ F. Álvarez
46'
🔁
N. Pinto ◂ Toni
49'
Nano · Foul
56'
L. Svanberg · Foul
64'
🔁
V. Granath ◂ M. Nielsen
64'
🔁
V. Gustafson ◂ R. Leandersson
65'
🔁
Y. F. Idrissi ◂ K. Gómez
66'
🔁
O. Lindberg ◂ E. Stroud
69'
J. Kjaer · Foul
71'
🔁
E. Jolley ◂ Joe
72'
Mandi · Foul
77'
J. Eersteling · Foul
82'
🔁
A. Norén ◂ L. Svanberg
88'
🔁
G. Garcia ◂ C. Rutjens
Full-time · 0–0
90'+1
J. Gustavsson · Foul
Coaches
Juan Manuel Pavon DominguezKarl Marius Aksum 
Recent form
Lincoln Red ImpsLAMjällby AIF0-3
DAInter Club d'Escaldes1-1
WHInter Club d'Escaldes3-1
LASporting Braga1-5
LHSporting Braga0-4
Mjällby AIFLAKalmar FF1-2
WHLincoln Red Imps3-0
DHVästerås SK0-0
LHAIK1-2
DAIK Sirius4-4
Match facts
Stadium
Europa Sports Park
City
Gibraltar
Referee
Alexandros Tsakalidis
Kickoff
28 Jul, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
Highlights & clips
Lincoln Red Imps
3-5-2 · 3-4-3
Mjällby AIF
1
N. Garcia
66
J. Eersteling
6
B. Lopes
5
G. Garcia
↑ 88'
4
N. Pinto
↑ 46'
2
E. Jolley
↑ 71'
8
Mandi
10
Á. Mula
↑ 46'
21
Nano
44
M. Toledano
19
Y. F. Idrissi
↑ 65'
13
R. Wallinder
5
A. Iqbal
4
A. Norén
↑ 82'
24
T. Pettersson
14
V. Granath
↑ 64'
22
J. Gustavsson
7
V. Gustafson
↑ 64'
29
O. Lindberg
↑ 66'
23
Á. Samuelsen
18
J. Bergström
10
J. Kjaer
↑ 46'
Substitutes
13GJ. Hankins
27GM. Hamm
3DC. Rutjens↓ 88'
20DE. Britto
18MToni↓ 46'
23MJoe↓ 71'
22MG. Torrilla
32FF. Álvarez↓ 46'
9FK. Gómez↓ 65'
7FL. Casciaro
77FR. García
Coach: Juan Manuel Pavon Dominguez
Live pressure (attacks & territory). Full match stats — shots, possession, passes — sync in through the match and complete at full-time.
Live match pressure
96Attacks110
59Dangerous attacks58
82Ball possession territory88
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 28 bookmakers
Who winsMjällby to win (DNB) 79% · 1.33 @ Betway
1X2Mjällby to win 63% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 1.70 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.23 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.43 @ Betway
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.70 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.73 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 21% · 4.33 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.50 @ 1xBet
1X2Lincoln RI to win 16% · 5.10 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.37
Lincoln Red Imps ▼
4.08
Draw ▼
1.67
Mjällby AIF ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
2.08
Lincoln Red Imps or Draw ▼
1.22
Lincoln Red Imps or Mjällby AIF ▲
1.20
Draw or Mjällby AIF ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.66
Yes ▼
2.09
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.65
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50 ▼
4.40
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.68
Over 2.50 ▼
2.15
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.65
Over 3.50 ▼
1.46
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.50
Over 4.50 ▼
1.19
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
3.35
Lincoln Red Imps ▼
1.26
Mjällby AIF ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.03
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.09
Over 5.50 ▲
6.40
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.19
Over 6.50 ▼
4.15
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.38
Over 7.50 ▼
2.77
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.68
Over 8.50 ▼
2.06
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.12
Over 9.50 ▼
1.65
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.83
Over 10.50 ▲
1.37
Under 10.50 ▲
1.3 – 1.7Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby to win (DNB)Who wins | 79% | 79% | 1.19 | Overpriced | high |
| Mjällby to win1X2 | 63% | 63% | 1.48 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 56% | 56% | 1.67 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 78% | 77% | 1.2 | Overpriced | high |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 68% | 68% | 1.35 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 9.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 51% | 51% | 1.82 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 54% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 21% | 21% | 4.44 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 65% | 65% | 1.43 | Overpriced | medium |
| Lincoln RI to win1X2 | 16% | 16% | 5.71 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Lincoln RI to win (DNB) — we say 35%, they say 21%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 81% | -3% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 58% | -2% | No |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 36% | -1% | No |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 52% | -1% | No |
| Home win | 16% | 48% | -32% | No |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | +1% | Yes |
| Away win | 63% | 32% | +31% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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