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Luke Spencer
FC Tulsa
Sacramento Republic FC
FC Tulsa
5-4-1 · 4-4-2
Sacramento Republic FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
4299 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
43.9%
-54.2 vs price
Draw
26.0 · implied 3.8%
31.6%
+27.7 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
24.8%
+24.7 vs price
Half time
694 EUR · live
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
91.2%
-2.3 vs price
Home
5.4 · implied 18.5%
5.3%
-13.2 vs price
Away
7.4 · implied 13.5%
3.3%
-10.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10949 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.4%
-7.6 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
8.8%
+5.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
452 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.5%
-2.5 vs price
Over
65.0 · implied 1.5%
3.3%
+1.8 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
30'
J. C. Webber · Foul
42'
🔁
A. Essel ◂ M. Kaye
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
K. Edwards ◂ T. Wolff
46'
🔁
T. Leibold ◂ M. Malango
64'
🔁
S. Lukic ◂ B. Sparks
66'
⚽
J. C. Webber · assist S. Lukic1–0
70'
B. Willey · Foul
74'
🔁
G. Colli ◂ L. Dorsey
74'
🔁
K. ElMedkhar ◂ A. Ordóñez
79'
🔁
P. Casas ◂ C. Ukaegbu
79'
🔁
F. Ajago ◂ B. Willey
87'
🔁
D. Pierre ◂ L. Stauffer
Full-time · 1–0
90'
N. Collins · Argument
90'+3
D. Pierre
Coaches
Neill Collins 
Recent form
WAPittsburgh Riverhounds1-0
DHLexington SC0-0
WHEl Paso Locomotive FC1-0
LHColorado Springs Switchbacks FC1-2
WHMonterey Bay FC2-0
WHSC Jacksonville5-0
WAOakland Roots SC3-1
DACharleston Battery1-1
WHRhode Island FC2-1
LHNew Mexico United0-1
Where to watch
BetanoDisney+
Match facts
Stadium
Oneok Field
City
Tulsa
Kickoff
06 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
USL Championship
Highlights & clips
28
D. Jacomen
7.8
44
J. Sangwa
6.8
98
Ian
7.0
91
A. Cissoko
6.7
15
L. Batista
7.3
4
D. Pierre
6.6
↑ 87'
22
S. Lukic
7.2
↑ 64'
8
J. C. Webber
8.2
13
J. Kocevski
6.7
10
K. ElMedkhar
6.4
↑ 74'
20
G. Colli
6.7
↑ 74'
1
D. Vitiello
6.4
2
J. Gurr
6.5
24
P. Casas
6.6
↑ 79'
5
J. Timmer
6.7
4
L. Desmond
7.7
11
F. Ajago
6.3
↑ 79'
27
D. Crisostomo
7.3
15
A. Essel
6.7
↑ 42'
21
T. Leibold
6.1
↑ 46'
71
K. Edwards
6.3
↑ 46'
8
M. Rodríguez
7.4
Substitutes
1GA. Tambakis
12DL. Stauffer↓ 87'6.8
25DA. Clarke
17MB. Sparks↓ 64'6.3
27MZ. Siranga
9FA. Ordóñez↓ 74'6.4
14FL. Dorsey↓ 74'6.1
19FN. Pierre
Coach: Luke Spencer
Substitutes
31GJ. Randolph
55DC. Ukaegbu↓ 79'6.3
6DF. Kleemann
18MM. Kaye↓ 42'6.9
7MM. Malango↓ 46'6.7
16MT. Wolff↓ 46'6.7
20MB. Willey↓ 79'6.3
10MA. Rodriguez
19MA. Midence
Coach: Neill Collins
Top stats
45%Possession55%
1.22Expected goals (xG)1.21
8Total shots10
3Shots on target4
2Big chances2
4Corners2
Shots
2Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
6Shots inside box7
2Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed2
Attack
18Touches in box17
57Final third entries75
3Offsides0
8Free kicks11
Passing
337Passes426
247Accurate passes324
16/60 (27%)Long balls25/79 (32%)
4/14 (29%)Crosses3/13 (23%)
25Throw-ins19
Duels
43Duels57
25/56 (45%)Ground duels31/56 (55%)
19/46 (41%)Aerial duels27/46 (59%)
11/18 (61%)Dribbles4/8 (50%)
9Dispossessed2
Defending
6Tackles16
33Tackles won75
5Interceptions7
24Clearances24
45Recoveries44
Discipline
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves2
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks4
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 62 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 61% · 1.58 @ efbet.net
Who winsSacramento Republic to win (DNB) 52% · 1.79 @ merkurxtip
CornersUnder 8.5 corners 52% · 1.90 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 74% · 1.30 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.21 @ betfair
1X2Draw 32% · 2.30 @ efbet.net
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.82 @ betfair
1X2Sacramento Republic to win 36% · 3.16 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 64% · 1.54 @ betfair
1X2FC Tulsa to win 33% · 3.40 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.79
FC Tulsa
2.87
Draw
2.56
Sacramento Republic FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.43
FC Tulsa or Draw
1.35
FC Tulsa or Sacramento Republic FC
1.37
Draw or Sacramento Republic FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.98
Yes
1.73
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.09
Over 0.50
6.37
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.45
Over 1.50
2.55
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.39
Over 2.50
1.51
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.50
Over 3.50
1.16
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.54
Over 4.50 ▲
1.05
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.92
FC Tulsa
1.77
Sacramento Republic FC
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.24
Over 6.50
3.33
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.49
Over 7.50
2.45
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.87
Over 8.50
1.81
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.40
Over 9.50
1.51
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.35
Over 10.50
1.26
Under 10.50
Corners 1X2consensus
2.08
FC Tulsa
7.70
Draw
1.97
Sacramento Republic FC
European Handicap 3.00consensus
1.03
FC Tulsa +3
20.60
Draw +3
38.18
Sacramento Republic FC -3
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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