Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽K. Denkey
15'
⚽J. Laurent
30'
⚽
45'
Unknown
45'
🔁K. Brown ◂ L. Pires
46'
🔁O. Adewumi ◂ J. Banel
46'
🔁O. Sonne ◂ B. Humphreys
46'
🔁G. Brierley ◂ F. Luís
46'
🔁B. Pouani ◂ M. Trésor
46'
🔁V. Masara ◂ A. Hountondji
46'
🔁E. Clark ◂ K. Walker
46'
🔁M. Campbell ◂ J. Laurent
46'
🔁J. Worrall ◂ L. Koleosho
46'
🔁O. Pimlott ◂ C. Roberts
46'
🔁E. Louro ◂ R. Celentano
46'
🔁K. Smith ◂ G. Valenzuela
60'
🔁F. Samson ◂ O. Nwobodo
60'
🔁A. Powell ◂ K. M. Dem
60'
🔁A. Lajhar ◂ N. Hagglund
60'
🔁S. Jimenez ◂ S. Gidi
60'
🔁A. Jabbari ◂ Evander
60'
🔁T. Hadebe ◂ E. Echenique
60'
🔁K. Fletcher ◂ K. Denkey
60'
🔁T. Barlow ◂ A. Chirila
60'
🔁T. Anunga ◂ P. Bucha
60'
⚽A. Jabbari
74'
🔁M. Mellon ◂ B. Pouani
87'
⚽
90'
⚽K. Fletcher (pen)
90'+4
Form
FC Cincinnati
WDLDW
Burnley
LLDLD
Match facts
Kickoff
10 Jul, 23:30 UTC
FC Cincinnati
3-4-2-1
18
R. Celentano
88
A. Chirila
4
N. Hagglund
5
O. Nwobodo
66
E. Echenique
20
P. Bucha
11
S. Gidi
22
G. Valenzuela
10
Evander
17
K. M. Dem
9
K. Denkey
Substitutes
13
E. Louro
15
T. Hadebe
55
A. Lajhar
2
A. Powell
50
F. Samson
24
K. Smith
27
T. Anunga
37
S. Jimenez
16
T. Barlow
99
A. Jabbari
14
K. Fletcher
Burnley
4-2-3-1
13
M. Weiss
14
C. Roberts
2
K. Walker
12
B. Humphreys
23
L. Pires
29
J. Laurent
16
F. Luís
17
L. Koleosho
31
M. Trésor
11
J. Banel
18
A. Hountondji
Substitutes
4
J. Worrall
22
O. Sonne
54
O. Pimlott
47
E. Clark
6
G. Brierley
52
K. Brown
43
M. Campbell
17
O. Adewumi
9
V. Masara
45
B. Pouani
28
M. Mellon
C. Edwards
1
O. Cooney
6
T. Savage
Coach: Pat Noonan
Coach: Nicky Hayen