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Marko Nikolić
AEK Athens
Aris Thessaloniki
AEK Athens
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Aris Thessaloniki
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
109464 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.1%
-3.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.8%
+2.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.1%
+2.0 vs price
Half time
841 EUR · live
Home
1.11 · implied 90.1%
73.9%
-16.2 vs price
Away
12.0 · implied 8.3%
17.4%
+9.0 vs price
Draw
2.78 · implied 36.0%
8.7%
-27.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9088 EUR · live
Over
1.61 · implied 62.1%
50.1%
-12.0 vs price
Under
2.64 · implied 37.9%
49.9%
+12.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
409 EUR · live
Under
1.19 · implied 84.0%
66.7%
-17.4 vs price
Over
7.8 · implied 12.8%
33.2%
+20.4 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
B. Varga · assist L. Majer1–0
27'
L. Majer · Foul
40'
L. Rota · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
C. Kouamé ◂ M. García
46'
🔁
S. Palacios ◂ G. Gianniotas
62'
⚽
B. Varga · assist M. Gaćinović2–0
64'
🔁
R. Mir ◂ T. Kadewere
64'
🔁
M. Hongla ◂ T. Dele-Bashiru
66'
⚽
R. Marin · assist L. Majer3–0
68'
🔁
A. Koita ◂ M. Gaćinović
68'
🔁
Zini ◂ L. Jović
72'
VAR
Goal not given after review · B. Varga
75'
⚽
A. Koita · assist M. Vitális4–0
80'
🔁
K. Arriaga ◂ R. Marin
80'
🔁
P. Mantalos ◂ B. Varga
82'
🔁
O. Boussaid ◂ B. Garré
82'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · P. Mantalos
83'
🔁
O. Zubkov ◂ L. Majer
Full-time · 5–0
90'
⚽
Zini · assist P. Mantalos5–0
Coaches
Marko NikolićMichalis Grigoriou 
Recent form
AEK AthensDAAE Kifisia1-1
WHLevski Sofia4-0
WHPOT Iraklis4-0
DALevski Sofia0-0
WHAthens Kallithea FC4-0
Aris ThessalonikiWHOFI Crete2-1
WAPS Kalamata3-2
LASSC Napoli2-6
WAMonza3-1
WHAPO Levadiakos3-0
Where to watch
Arena Sport 3 SRB
Betano
Cytavision Sports 5HD
MAGENTA | 8HD
Sportklub 11 Croatia
Arena Sport 3 SRB
Arena Sport 3 SRB
Match facts
Stadium
Allwyn Arena
City
Athens
Kickoff
05 Sep, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Stoiximan Super League
Highlights & clips
AEK Athens
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Aris Thessaloniki
1
T. Strakosha
7.1
12
L. Rota
7.6
2
H. Moukoudi
7.6
44
F. Relvas
7.6
3
S. Pilios
7.7
10
O. Zubkov
6.6
↑ 83'
27
M. Vitális
7.7
16
K. Arriaga
6.6
↑ 80'
11
A. Koita
8.0
↑ 68'
20
P. Mantalos
7.3
↑ 80'
90
Zini
7.4
↑ 68'
33
R. Velho
6.7
27
N. Fadiga
5.7
44
B. Šutalo
5.6
97
F. Jensen
5.7
3
O. Richards
5.4
18
M. Hongla
5.7
↑ 64'
10
U. Račić
6.7
49
O. Boussaid
6.2
↑ 82'
34
S. Palacios
7.2
↑ 46'
8
C. Kouamé
6.4
↑ 46'
17
R. Mir
6.6
↑ 64'
Top stats
60%Possession40%
3.53Expected goals (xG)0.4
21Total shots7
10Shots on target2
5Big chances1
2Corners2
Shots
9Shots off target4
2Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box3
5Shots outside box4
4Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
0.05Goals prevented-0.45
Attack
27Touches in box9
59Final third entries39
3Offsides0
17Free kicks16
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
542Passes357
473Accurate passes286
23/42 (55%)Long balls20/43 (47%)
5/14 (36%)Crosses0/9 (0%)
13Throw-ins11
Duels
54Duels46
39/78 (50%)Ground duels39/78 (50%)
18/27 (67%)Aerial duels9/27 (33%)
2/8 (25%)Dribbles8/15 (53%)
10Dispossessed13
Defending
20Tackles16
40Tackles won50
9Interceptions12
15Clearances19
49Recoveries41
Discipline
16Fouls17
2Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2AEK to win 68% · 1.75 @ William Hill
Who winsAEK to win (DNB) 79% · 1.12 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.25 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 73% · 1.40 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.70 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.00 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.40 @ betfair
1X2Draw 20% · 2.84 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
1X2Aris to win 12% · 6.93 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.37
AEK Athens
4.50
Draw
7.70
Aris Thessaloniki
Double Chanceconsensus
1.07
AEK Athens or Draw
1.17
AEK Athens or Aris Thessaloniki
2.90
Draw or Aris Thessaloniki
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.10
Yes
1.66
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
13.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.82
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.77
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.92
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.84
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.10
AEK Athens
6.50
Aris Thessaloniki
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.35
Over 7.50
2.68
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.69
Over 8.50
2.04
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.08
Over 9.50
1.65
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.63
Over 10.50
1.36
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.41
Over 11.50
1.20
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
AEK Athens to win or draw
✓
88% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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