Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Panathinaikos rolling, PAOK limping** — the home side's flawless start meets a Thessaloniki crew still finding their feet in round 3. 🔴
Pana haven't dropped points in five, mixing wins and draws with quiet confidence. PAOK, meanwhile, are all over the place: a thumping 4-0 win sandwiched between losses to SK Brann and that dodgy result vs Atromitos. The form gap is real.
Key storylines:
- **Panathinaikos** sitting pretty at home with their rock-solid defensive unit (de Vrij and Drongelen anchoring), while **Calabria** adds bite down the flank
- **PAOK's** midfield lacks stability — missing **Konstantelias** and **Hatzidiakos** is biting hard, forcing tough lineups
- Head-to-head history favors the hosts badly (52 wins vs 39), and Pana's momentum means PAOK need something special just to nick a point
Expected lineups:
- **Panathinaikos FC**: Peña, Kyriakopoulos, de Vrij, Drongelen, Calabria, Camara, Čerin, Andino, Jagušić, Pellistri, Tetteh
- **PAOK**: Pavlenka, Baba, Elustondo, Michailidis, Kenny, Zafeiris, Santamaria, Ali, Pelkas, Živković, Mythou
Prediction:
**Panathinaikos 2-1 PAOK**
Hosts edge it — defense too stingy, injuries too costly for the visitors. Lean home. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.