AEK Athens 3-0 OFI Crete: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. AEK Athens 3-0 OFI Crete.

90+3'

H. Moukoudi

Attempt blocked. H. Moukoudi (AEK Athens), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

90+3'

M. Gaćinović

Goal! AEK Athens 3-0 OFI Crete. M. Gaćinović (AEK Athens) scores.

90+2'

AEK Athens

Corner, AEK Athens.

90+2'

A. Koita

Attempt saved. A. Koita (AEK Athens), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+1'

A. Androutsos

Substitution, OFI Crete: Z. Karachalios comes on for A. Androutsos.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

88'

L. Jović

Substitution, AEK Athens: M. Gaćinović comes on for L. Jović.

88'

L. Majer

Substitution, AEK Athens: M. Vitális comes on for L. Majer.

87'

L. Rota

Substitution, AEK Athens: M. Georgiev comes on for L. Rota.

86'

L. Majer

Yellow card for L. Majer (AEK Athens) for foul.

83'

H. Moukoudi

Goal! AEK Athens 2-0 OFI Crete. H. Moukoudi (AEK Athens) scores, assisted by R. Marin.

82'

AEK Athens

Corner, AEK Athens.

79'

K. Kostoulas

Substitution, OFI Crete: B. Gonzalez comes on for K. Kostoulas.

78'

K. Kodro

Substitution, OFI Crete: T. Chatzigiovanis comes on for K. Kodro.

77'

Zini

Attempt missed. Zini (AEK Athens), left-footed shot. xG 0.18.

76'

Zini

Attempt missed. Zini (AEK Athens), header from a throw-in. xG 0.09.

75'

J. Mário

Attempt blocked. J. Mário (AEK Athens), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

72'

A. Bouchalakis

Substitution, OFI Crete: G. Apostolakis comes on for A. Bouchalakis.

71'

T. Fountas

Substitution, OFI Crete: T. Nuss comes on for T. Fountas.

70'

L. Majer

Attempt blocked. L. Majer (AEK Athens), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

70'

AEK Athens

Corner, AEK Athens.

68'

AEK Athens

Corner, AEK Athens.

67'

D. Kutesa

Substitution, AEK Athens: J. Mário comes on for D. Kutesa.

66'

A. Cantalapiedra

Second yellow card for A. Cantalapiedra (OFI Crete), who is sent off.

62'

K. Kairinen

Substitution, AEK Athens: Zini comes on for K. Kairinen.

61'

OFI Crete

Corner, OFI Crete.

56'

A. Koita

Off the woodwork! A. Koita (AEK Athens), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.18.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. AEK Athens 1-0 OFI Crete.

45+2'

AEK Athens

Corner, AEK Athens.

45+1'

L. Jović

Attempt saved. L. Jović (AEK Athens), header. xG 0.03.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

L. Dickmann

Attempt missed. L. Dickmann (OFI Crete), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

41'

F. Relvas

Goal! AEK Athens 1-0 OFI Crete. F. Relvas (AEK Athens) scores, assisted by L. Majer.

40'

AEK Athens

Corner, AEK Athens.

37'

A. Koita

Attempt missed. A. Koita (AEK Athens), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

36'

A. Cantalapiedra

Yellow card for A. Cantalapiedra (OFI Crete) for argument.

34'

T. Fountas

Yellow card for T. Fountas (OFI Crete) for argument.

34'

L. Rota

Attempt blocked. L. Rota (AEK Athens), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

34'

L. Rota

Yellow card for L. Rota (AEK Athens) for argument.

33'

AEK Athens

Corner, AEK Athens.

28'

A. Androutsos

Attempt blocked. A. Androutsos (OFI Crete), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

28'

K. Kostoulas

Attempt missed. K. Kostoulas (OFI Crete), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

28'

OFI Crete

Corner, OFI Crete.

27'

A. Koita

Attempt missed. A. Koita (AEK Athens), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

25'

L. Majer

Attempt blocked. L. Majer (AEK Athens), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

24'

AEK Athens

Offside, AEK Athens.

24'

C. Kontis

Yellow card for C. Kontis (OFI Crete) for argument.

23'

AEK Athens

Offside, AEK Athens.

20'

L. Jović

Attempt missed. L. Jović (AEK Athens), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

19'

R. Marin

Attempt saved. R. Marin (AEK Athens), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

17'

A. Koita

Attempt blocked. A. Koita (AEK Athens), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

16'

AEK Athens

Corner, AEK Athens.

15'

OFI Crete

Corner, OFI Crete.

13'

AEK Athens

Offside, AEK Athens.

10'

L. Jović

Attempt saved. L. Jović (AEK Athens), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

7'

A. Androutsos

Attempt missed. A. Androutsos (OFI Crete), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

7'

OFI Crete

Corner, OFI Crete.

1'

Kick-off: AEK Athens vs OFI Crete.

Where the money is

197267 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 117344 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

94.4%

-4.6 vs price

Draw 220.0 · implied 0.5%

4.0%

+3.5 vs price

Away 800.0 · implied 0.1%

1.7%

+1.6 vs price

Half time 162 EUR

Away 10.0 · implied 10.0%

89.0%

+79.0 vs price

Draw 3.1 · implied 32.3%

59.3%

+27.0 vs price

Home 1.79 · implied 55.9%

9.9%

-46.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 18171 EUR · live

Under 1.06 · implied 94.3%

62.9%

-31.5 vs price

Over 11.0 · implied 9.1%

37.1%

+28.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 54 EUR

Over 5.9 · implied 16.9%

90.3%

+73.3 vs price

Under 1.2 · implied 83.3%

7.4%

-76.0 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

24' C. Kontis · Argument

34' T. Fountas · Argument

34' L. Rota · Argument

36' A. Cantalapiedra · Argument

41' ⚽ F. Relvas · assist L. Majer1–0

Half-time · 1–0

62' 🔁 Zini ◂ K. Kairinen

66' A. Cantalapiedra · Foul

67' 🔁 J. Mário ◂ D. Kutesa

71' 🔁 T. Nuss ◂ T. Fountas

72' 🔁 G. Apostolakis ◂ A. Bouchalakis

78' 🔁 T. Chatzigiovanis ◂ K. Kodro

79' 🔁 B. Gonzalez ◂ K. Kostoulas

83' ⚽ H. Moukoudi · assist R. Marin2–0

86' L. Majer · Foul

87' 🔁 M. Georgiev ◂ L. Rota

88' 🔁 M. Vitális ◂ L. Majer

88' 🔁 M. Gaćinović ◂ L. Jović

Full-time · 3–0

90'⁺¹ 🔁 Z. Karachalios ◂ A. Androutsos

90'⁺³ ⚽ M. Gaćinović3–0

Coaches

Marko Nikolić

Christos Kontis

Recent form

AEK Athens

WANPS Volos2-1

DAAsteras Aktor1-1

WHLASK1-0

WHAris Thessaloniki5-0

DAAE Kifisia1-1

OFI Crete

DHAsteras Aktor2-2

WHTSG Hoffenheim2-0

WAOlympiacos FC1-0

WHAE Kifisia2-0

LAAris Thessaloniki1-2

About this match

**AEK Athens looking to keep the heat on at home** — they're unbeaten in their last five and host a tricky OFI side that's equally hard to shake off. 🔥

AEK's mixing wins with draws but staying solid; OFI just took down **Olympiacos** away, so they're not here to make up the numbers. The head-to-head is heavily in AEK's favor (46 wins to 20), but recent form says OFI won't roll over.

Key storylines:

- **AEK Athens** missing **B. Varga** (thigh) — depth will matter in midfield rotation
- **OFI Crete** arrive without **T. Romano** but have **A. Bouchalakis** anchoring a compact three-back setup
- Home advantage + form edge points to AEK, but **OFI's** defensive shape and road wins suggest a low-scoring affair

Expected lineups:

- **AEK Athens**: T. Strakosha, S. Pilios, F. Relvas, H. Moukoudi, L. Rota, L. Majer, M. Gaćinović, K. Kairinen, R. Marin, L. Jović, Zini
- **OFI Crete**: N. Christogeorgos, N. Athanasiou, K. Krizmanić, A. Poungouras, L. Dickmann, K. Kostoulas, A. Bouchalakis, G. Kanellopoulos, T. Nuss, K. Kodro, T. Chatzigiovanis

Prediction:

**AEK 2–0 OFI**. Home form and historical dominance lean AEK's way, but don't expect a runaway — OFI's defensive discipline should keep this relatively tight. 💪

Where to watch

Sporty TV App

Match facts

Stadium

Allwyn Arena

City

Athens

Referee

Georgios Kokkinos

Kickoff

10 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Competition

Stoiximan Super League

Highlights & clips

AEK Athens 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3 OFI Crete

91 A. Brignoli 6.7 15 M. Georgiev ↑ 87' 2 H. Moukoudi 8.1 44 F. Relvas 8.9 3 S. Pilios 7.6 90 Zini 6.5 ↑ 62' 18 R. Marin 8.0 8 M. Gaćinović 7.5 ↑ 88' 11 A. Koita 7.3 23 J. Mário 6.8 ↑ 67' 27 M. Vitális ↑ 88' 31 N. Christogeorgos 6.7 17 B. Gonzalez 6.3 ↑ 79' 15 A. Poungouras 6.3 2 K. Krizmanić 6.9 24 L. Dickmann 6.6 6 Z. Karachalios ↑ 90' 21 G. Apostolakis 6.2 ↑ 72' 3 N. Athanasiou 6.3 18 T. Nuss 6.6 ↑ 71' 7 T. Chatzigiovanis 6.3 ↑ 78' 10 A. Cantalapiedra 5.8

Top stats

57%Possession43%

1.66Expected goals (xG)0.21

19Total shots4

7Shots on target0

2Big chances0

9Corners4

Shots

6Shots off target3

6Blocked shots1

15Shots inside box3

4Shots outside box1

1Hit woodwork0

2Big chances scored0

0.0Goals prevented-0.12

Attack

32Touches in box7

51Final third entries24

3Offsides0

9Free kicks16

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

545Passes415

491Accurate passes358

15/31 (48%)Long balls17/38 (45%)

6/24 (25%)Crosses2/12 (17%)

20Throw-ins13

Duels

51Duels49

35/72 (49%)Ground duels37/72 (51%)

9/14 (64%)Aerial duels5/14 (36%)

9/18 (50%)Dribbles6/12 (50%)

7Dispossessed11

Defending

17Tackles16

65Tackles won69

12Interceptions6

8Clearances21

49Recoveries40

Discipline

16Fouls9

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

0Saves4

2Goal kicks8

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

AEK 75%

16%

OFI 9%

1X2AEK to win 75% · 1.55 @ William Hill

Who winsAEK to win (DNB) 86% · 1.11 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.40 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.75 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.28 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70% · 1.35 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 54% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 16% · 3.35 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.60 @ 1xBet

1X2OFI to win 9% · 8.55 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.23

AEK Athens

5.90

Draw

10.96

OFI Crete

Double Chanceconsensus

1.04

AEK Athens or Draw

1.12

AEK Athens or OFI Crete

3.97

Draw or OFI Crete

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.93

Yes

1.77

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

23.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.13

Over 1.50

5.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.50

Over 2.50

2.50

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.25

Over 3.50

1.60

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.10

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.07

AEK Athens

7.50

OFI Crete

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.44

Over 7.50

2.64

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.75

Over 8.50

2.00

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.24

Over 9.50

1.59

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.85

Over 10.50

1.35

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.90

Over 11.50

1.18

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

AEK Athens to win or draw

✓

91% confidence

AEK Athens to avoid defeat

✓

86% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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