Olympiacos FC 1-0 Panathinaikos FC: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Olympiacos FC 1-0 Panathinaikos FC.

90+5'

Panathinaikos FC

Corner, Panathinaikos FC.

90+3'

A. Jagušić

Yellow card for A. Jagušić (Panathinaikos FC) for foul.

90+1'

A. Salah-Eddine

Attempt missed. A. Salah-Eddine (Panathinaikos FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

G. Puerta

Substitution, Olympiacos FC: S. Hezze comes on for G. Puerta.

88'

L. García

Attempt missed. L. García (Panathinaikos FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

86'

R. Drongelen

Attempt missed. R. Drongelen (Panathinaikos FC), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

85'

Panathinaikos FC

Corner, Panathinaikos FC.

83'

N. Tiknizyan

Substitution, Olympiacos FC: O. Bruno comes on for N. Tiknizyan.

83'

A. Ounahi

Substitution, Panathinaikos FC: A. Jagušić comes on for A. Ounahi.

82'

I. Louza

Yellow card for I. Louza (Panathinaikos FC) for foul.

82'

J. Silva

Attempt blocked. J. Silva (Olympiacos FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

80'

G. Martins

Attempt blocked. G. Martins (Olympiacos FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

80'

Olympiacos FC

Offside, Olympiacos FC.

77'

L. García

Yellow card for L. García (Panathinaikos FC) for foul.

76'

A. Ounahi

Attempt missed. A. Ounahi (Panathinaikos FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

74'

Panathinaikos FC

Corner, Panathinaikos FC.

73'

S. Andino

Substitution, Panathinaikos FC: C. Dessers comes on for S. Andino.

73'

Panathinaikos FC

Corner, Panathinaikos FC.

70'

K. Fortounis

Substitution, Olympiacos FC: G. Martins comes on for K. Fortounis.

70'

Chiquinho

Substitution, Olympiacos FC: M. Pedersen comes on for Chiquinho.

69'

M. Mouandilmadji

Substitution, Olympiacos FC: R. Yaremchuk comes on for M. Mouandilmadji.

67'

Chiquinho

Attempt missed. Chiquinho (Olympiacos FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

66'

M. Saliakas

Second yellow card for M. Saliakas (Olympiacos FC), who is sent off.

64'

Panathinaikos FC

Corner, Panathinaikos FC.

64'

A. Salah-Eddine

Attempt saved. A. Salah-Eddine (Panathinaikos FC), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

63'

M. Saliakas

Yellow card for M. Saliakas (Olympiacos FC) for foul.

62'

V. Taborda

Substitution, Panathinaikos FC: L. García comes on for V. Taborda.

59'

J. Silva

Attempt missed. J. Silva (Olympiacos FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

55'

R. Freuler

Attempt missed. R. Freuler (Olympiacos FC), header from a corner. xG 0.10.

55'

Olympiacos FC

Corner, Olympiacos FC.

53'

Panathinaikos FC

Offside, Panathinaikos FC.

52'

K. Fortounis

Attempt missed. K. Fortounis (Olympiacos FC), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

51'

S. de Vrij

Yellow card for S. de Vrij (Panathinaikos FC) for foul.

47'

A. Salah-Eddine

Yellow card for A. Salah-Eddine (Panathinaikos FC) for foul.

46'

E. Camara

Substitution, Panathinaikos FC: K. Kangwa comes on for E. Camara.

46'

G. Kyriakopoulos

Substitution, Panathinaikos FC: A. Salah-Eddine comes on for G. Kyriakopoulos.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Olympiacos FC 1-0 Panathinaikos FC.

45+2'

Panathinaikos FC

Corner, Panathinaikos FC.

45+2'

P. Retsos

Yellow card for P. Retsos (Olympiacos FC) for foul.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

45'

M. Mouandilmadji

Attempt blocked. M. Mouandilmadji (Olympiacos FC), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.

43'

S. Andino

Yellow card for S. Andino (Panathinaikos FC) for foul.

40'

V. Taborda

Attempt missed. V. Taborda (Panathinaikos FC), header. xG 0.06.

36'

Panathinaikos FC

Corner, Panathinaikos FC.

36'

J. Silva

Attempt blocked. J. Silva (Olympiacos FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

36'

A. Tetteh

Attempt blocked. A. Tetteh (Panathinaikos FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

34'

P. Retsos

Goal! Olympiacos FC 1-0 Panathinaikos FC. P. Retsos (Olympiacos FC) scores, assisted by R. Freuler.

29'

A. Tetteh

Attempt saved. A. Tetteh (Panathinaikos FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

26'

V. Taborda

Attempt blocked. V. Taborda (Panathinaikos FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

25'

V. Taborda

Yellow card for V. Taborda (Panathinaikos FC) for argument.

25'

K. Fortounis

Yellow card for K. Fortounis (Olympiacos FC) for argument.

16'

Olympiacos FC

Corner, Olympiacos FC.

13'

M. Mouandilmadji

Attempt missed. M. Mouandilmadji (Olympiacos FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

5'

K. Fortounis

Attempt missed. K. Fortounis (Olympiacos FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

4'

Chiquinho

Attempt saved. Chiquinho (Olympiacos FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

1'

Kick-off: Olympiacos FC vs Panathinaikos FC.

Where the money is

391914 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 144881 EUR · live

Home 1.1 · implied 90.9%

77.7%

-13.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

11.9%

+11.8 vs price

Draw 11.5 · implied 8.7%

10.7%

+2.0 vs price

Half time 1468 EUR · live

Draw 1.68 · implied 59.5%

67.8%

+8.3 vs price

Home 3.95 · implied 25.3%

21.1%

-4.2 vs price

Away 5.0 · implied 20.0%

11.0%

-9.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 54706 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

77.6%

-21.4 vs price

Over 990.0 · implied 0.1%

22.4%

+22.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6852 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

96.1%

-2.9 vs price

Over 95.0 · implied 1.1%

3.9%

+2.8 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

25' V. Taborda · Argument

25' K. Fortounis · Argument

34' ⚽ P. Retsos · assist R. Freuler1–0

43' S. Andino · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

45'⁺² P. Retsos · Foul

46' 🔁 A. Salah-Eddine ◂ G. Kyriakopoulos

46' 🔁 K. Kangwa ◂ E. Camara

47' A. Salah-Eddine · Foul

51' S. de Vrij · Foul

62' 🔁 L. García ◂ V. Taborda

63' M. Saliakas · Foul

66' M. Saliakas · Foul

69' 🔁 R. Yaremchuk ◂ M. Mouandilmadji

70' 🔁 M. Pedersen ◂ Chiquinho

70' 🔁 G. Martins ◂ K. Fortounis

73' 🔁 C. Dessers ◂ S. Andino

77' L. García · Foul

82' I. Louza · Foul

83' 🔁 A. Jagušić ◂ A. Ounahi

83' 🔁 O. Bruno ◂ N. Tiknizyan

89' 🔁 S. Hezze ◂ G. Puerta

Full-time · 1–0

90'⁺³ A. Jagušić · Foul

Coaches

Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea

Jacob Neestrup

Recent form

Olympiacos FC

WAAPO Levadiakos1-0

WHJagiellonia Białystok2-1

LHOFI Crete0-1

DANPS Volos1-1

WAAsteras Aktor1-0

Panathinaikos FC

WAPS Kalamata1-0

WHGFS Panetolikos3-0

WHAE Kifisia3-1

WHPAOK3-1

WAAPO Levadiakos2-0

About this match

**Olympiacos host Panathinaikos in a heavyweight Athenian derby — and the Reds are walking in off a stumble.** Despite the home advantage and a solid recent record, Olympiacos just took a shock 0-1 loss to OFI Crete. Panathinaikos? They're **5-0 in their last five** and rolling hot. 🔥

Olympiacos are a touch favored on the H2H and at home, but form tells a different story. Panathinaikos have zero draws in five games and just hammered Kifisia 3-1 — they're clinical. Losing **Kaabi** to a cheekbone injury stings for Olympiacos; Panathinaikos have depth even without García and Taborda sidelined.

Key storylines:

- **Panathinaikos' perfect run** meets Olympiacos' vulnerability in midfield without depth options — can the Greens' momentum overwhelm the home side?
- **A. González** and **J. Silva** will need to carry the attacking load for Olympiacos without Kaabi; expect Panathinaikos to press high.
- Midfield battle: **R. Freuler** and **S. Hezze** face **E. Camara** and **K. Kangwa** in what could be the fixture's pivotal area.

Expected lineups:

- **Olympiacos FC**: S. Ortega, N. Tiknizyan, P. Retsos, L. Pirola, M. Pedersen, S. Hezze, R. Freuler, J. Roca, Chiquinho, J. Silva, A. González
- **Panathinaikos FC**: I. Peña, G. Kyriakopoulos, S. de Vrij, R. Drongelen, D. Calabria, E. Camara, K. Kangwa, S. Andino, A. Jagušić, F. Pellistri, A. Tetteh

Prediction:

**1-2 Panathinaikos.** The Greens' form is too hot to ignore, and Olympiacos look rattled. Slight lean to the away side. ⚪

Where to watch

Claro Sports

Match facts

Stadium

Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium

City

Piraeus

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez

4.49 yellows/match · 59 matches

Kickoff

11 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Stoiximan Super League

Highlights & clips

Olympiacos FC 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Panathinaikos FC

1 S. Ortega 7.7 2 M. Saliakas 6.2 45 P. Retsos 8.5 5 L. Pirola 8.1 70 O. Bruno 6.7 ↑ 83' 32 S. Hezze ↑ 89' 19 R. Freuler 7.0 20 J. Silva 6.0 10 G. Martins 7.1 ↑ 70' 27 M. Pedersen 6.7 ↑ 70' 11 R. Yaremchuk 6.6 ↑ 69' 1 I. Peña 6.4 2 D. Calabria 6.7 6 S. de Vrij 6.1 55 R. Drongelen 7.2 5 A. Salah-Eddine 6.8 ↑ 46' 26 I. Louza 7.0 42 K. Kangwa 7.2 ↑ 46' 99 L. García 6.7 ↑ 62' 8 A. Jagušić 6.2 ↑ 83' 9 C. Dessers 6.5 ↑ 73' 7 A. Tetteh 6.5

Substitutes

31GB. Popović 71DN. Tiknizyan↓ 83'7.0 4DZ. Smajlović 6DD. Carmo 22MChiquinho↓ 70'7.2 15MG. Puerta↓ 89'6.7 8MG. Sá 73MJ. Roca 7FK. Fortounis↓ 70'7.1 99FM. Mouandilmadji↓ 69'6.8 34FA. González 17FL. Bailey

Coach: Imanol Alguacil Barrenetxea

Substitutes

12GL. Cháves 70GK. Kotsaris 77DG. Kyriakopoulos↓ 46'6.8 19DT. Tsapras 14DE. Palmer Brown 21MA. Ounahi↓ 83'6.6 22ME. Camara↓ 46'6.3 10MS. Andino↓ 73'6.2 28MF. Pellistri 4MP. Chirivella 20FV. Taborda↓ 62'6.7 74FE. Rastoder

Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Top stats

40%Possession60%

0.73Expected goals (xG)0.47

12Total shots9

2Shots on target2

1Big chances1

2Corners7

Shots

6Shots off target5

4Blocked shots2

9Shots inside box7

3Shots outside box2

1Big chances missed1

0.48Goals prevented-0.07

Attack

19Touches in box16

51Final third entries42

2Offsides1

18Free kicks20

4Fouled in final third4

Passing

313Passes458

236Accurate passes378

20/57 (35%)Long balls23/52 (44%)

4/8 (50%)Crosses4/17 (24%)

18Throw-ins22

Duels

56Duels44

50/96 (52%)Ground duels46/96 (48%)

24/35 (69%)Aerial duels11/35 (31%)

3/13 (23%)Dribbles8/27 (30%)

10Dispossessed10

Defending

29Tackles20

59Tackles won80

13Interceptions4

21Clearances14

44Recoveries46

Discipline

20Fouls18

4Yellow cards7

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

1Big saves0

9Goal kicks6

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Olympiacos 42%

30%

Panathinaikos 28%

Who winsOlympiacos to win (DNB) 73% · 1.52 @ Betsson

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.12 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 30% · 2.37 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.40 @ 1xBet

1X2Olympiacos to win 42% · 2.50 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.83 @ Bet365

1X2Panathinaikos to win 28% · 3.94 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.38 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.11

Olympiacos FC

3.08

Draw

3.52

Panathinaikos FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.27

Olympiacos FC or Draw

1.33

Olympiacos FC or Panathinaikos FC

1.67

Draw or Panathinaikos FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.85

Yes

1.87

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

8.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.10

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.16

Over 2.50

1.66

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.00

Over 3.50

1.22

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.25

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.50

Olympiacos FC

2.44

Panathinaikos FC

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.38

Over 7.50

2.75

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.69

Over 8.50

2.09

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.10

Over 9.50

1.68

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.65

Over 10.50

1.40

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.60

Over 11.50

1.22

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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