PAOK 1-3 PS Kalamata: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 12, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. PAOK 1-3 PS Kalamata.

90+4'

S. Banza

Attempt saved. S. Banza (PAOK), header. xG 0.05.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

O. Ugrešić

Attempt missed. O. Ugrešić (PAOK), header. xG 0.12.

89'

A. Sigurðsson

Attempt saved. A. Sigurðsson (PS Kalamata), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

89'

A. Elustondo

Yellow card for A. Elustondo (PAOK) for foul.

85'

PAOK

Corner, PAOK.

85'

S. Banza

Attempt saved. S. Banza (PAOK), shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

85'

D. Costa

Attempt missed. D. Costa (PAOK), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

85'

PAOK

Corner, PAOK.

84'

A. Živković

Attempt blocked. A. Živković (PAOK), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

84'

A. M. Moreira

Substitution, PS Kalamata: A. Liatsikouras comes on for A. M. Moreira.

84'

E. Hamza

Substitution, PS Kalamata: A. Sigurðsson comes on for E. Hamza.

84'

D. Kurminowski

Substitution, PS Kalamata: J. Miranda comes on for D. Kurminowski.

82'

PAOK

Corner, PAOK.

79'

PS Kalamata

Offside, PS Kalamata.

78'

D. Diarra

Substitution, PS Kalamata: J. Cataldi comes on for D. Diarra.

77'

PS Kalamata

Offside, PS Kalamata.

74'

Taison

Substitution, PAOK: S. Banza comes on for Taison.

74'

K. Jakić

Substitution, PAOK: O. Ugrešić comes on for K. Jakić.

73'

Rodrigues

Substitution, PS Kalamata: J. Bakayoko comes on for Rodrigues.

66'

D. Kurminowski

Goal! PAOK 1-3 PS Kalamata. D. Kurminowski (PS Kalamata) scores, assisted by J. Alonso.

65'

E. Hamza

Off the woodwork! E. Hamza (PS Kalamata), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

65'

C. Ndiaye

Attempt missed. C. Ndiaye (PAOK), header. xG 0.07.

64'

K. Vargas

Attempt saved. K. Vargas (PS Kalamata), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

63'

D. Pelkas

Substitution, PAOK: D. Monastirlis comes on for D. Pelkas.

62'

A. Tsiftsis

Red card! A. Tsiftsis (PAOK) is sent off for professional foul last man.

61'

A. Tsiftsis

VAR: card upgraded for A. Tsiftsis (PAOK).

60'

D. Kurminowski

Yellow card for D. Kurminowski (PS Kalamata) for argument.

59'

R. Baba

Attempt blocked. R. Baba (PAOK), header from a corner. xG 0.10.

59'

C. Ndiaye

Attempt blocked. C. Ndiaye (PAOK), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.09.

59'

D. Pelkas

Attempt blocked. D. Pelkas (PAOK), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

59'

PAOK

Corner, PAOK.

56'

C. Ndiaye

Attempt missed. C. Ndiaye (PAOK), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

56'

K. Vargas

Goal! PAOK 1-2 PS Kalamata. K. Vargas (PS Kalamata) scores, assisted by J. Alonso.

55'

D. Pelkas

Attempt missed. D. Pelkas (PAOK), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

52'

A. Živković

Attempt saved. A. Živković (PAOK), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

51'

K. Jakić

Attempt missed. K. Jakić (PAOK), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

50'

D. Pelkas

Attempt saved. D. Pelkas (PAOK), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

48'

R. Baba

Attempt missed. R. Baba (PAOK), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

48'

PAOK

Corner, PAOK.

46'

D. Chatsidis

Substitution, PAOK: A. Živković comes on for D. Chatsidis.

46'

G. Michailidis

Substitution, PAOK: A. Elustondo comes on for G. Michailidis.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. PAOK 1-1 PS Kalamata.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

C. Ndiaye

Goal! PAOK 1-1 PS Kalamata. C. Ndiaye (PAOK) scores.

43'

G. Piñeiro

Yellow card for G. Piñeiro (PS Kalamata) for foul.

42'

D. Kurminowski

Attempt missed. D. Kurminowski (PS Kalamata), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

39'

PAOK

Corner, PAOK.

37'

PAOK

Corner, PAOK.

37'

D. Kurminowski

Attempt missed. D. Kurminowski (PS Kalamata), header. xG 0.05.

35'

PAOK

Offside, PAOK.

33'

C. Zafeiris

Attempt missed. C. Zafeiris (PAOK), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

28'

K. Vargas

Goal! PAOK 0-1 PS Kalamata. K. Vargas (PS Kalamata) converts the penalty.

25'

PS Kalamata

Corner, PS Kalamata.

20'

D. Pelkas

Attempt blocked. D. Pelkas (PAOK), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

16'

K. Vargas

Attempt missed. K. Vargas (PS Kalamata), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

14'

A. M. Moreira

Attempt missed. A. M. Moreira (PS Kalamata), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.01.

9'

Taison

Attempt missed. Taison (PAOK), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

8'

K. Vargas

Attempt blocked. K. Vargas (PS Kalamata), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.

8'

D. Diarra

Attempt saved. D. Diarra (PS Kalamata), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.25.

8'

PS Kalamata

Corner, PS Kalamata.

1'

Kick-off: PAOK vs PS Kalamata.

Where the money is

510721 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 313235 EUR · live

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

60.1%

+60.0 vs price

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

35.1%

-63.9 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.3%

+6.2 vs price

Half time 5376 EUR · live

Home 2.68 · implied 37.3%

83.8%

+46.5 vs price

Away 11.0 · implied 9.1%

10.7%

+1.6 vs price

Draw 2.0 · implied 50.0%

5.5%

-44.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 39948 EUR · live

Over 1.3 · implied 76.9%

83.6%

+6.7 vs price

Under 4.3 · implied 23.3%

16.4%

-6.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 3385 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

93.8%

-3.3 vs price

Over 30.0 · implied 3.3%

6.2%

+2.8 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 6 clips

Player of the match

Match events

28' ⚽ K. Vargas (pen)0–1

43' G. Piñeiro · Foul

44' ⚽ C. Ndiaye1–1

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 A. Elustondo ◂ G. Michailidis

46' 🔁 A. Živković ◂ D. Chatsidis

56' ⚽ K. Vargas · assist J. Alonso1–2

60' D. Kurminowski · Argument

61' VAR Card check · A. Tsiftsis

62' A. Tsiftsis · Professional foul last man

63' 🔁 D. Monastirlis ◂ D. Pelkas

66' ⚽ D. Kurminowski · assist J. Alonso1–3

73' 🔁 J. Bakayoko ◂ Rodrigues

74' 🔁 O. Ugrešić ◂ K. Jakić

74' 🔁 S. Banza ◂ Taison

78' 🔁 J. Cataldi ◂ D. Diarra

84' 🔁 J. Miranda ◂ D. Kurminowski

84' 🔁 A. Sigurðsson ◂ E. Hamza

84' 🔁 A. Liatsikouras ◂ A. M. Moreira

89' A. Elustondo · Foul

Full-time · 1–3

Coaches

Alessio Lisci

Panagiotis Christofileas

Recent form

PAOK

WAGFS Panetolikos3-1

WHAris Thessaloniki2-0

LAPanathinaikos FC1-3

WAAPS Atromitos Athinon2-1

LASK Brann2-3

PS Kalamata

LHPanathinaikos FC0-1

WHNPS Volos3-1

DAAPS Atromitos Athinon1-1

LAGFS Panetolikos0-2

LHAris Thessaloniki2-3

About this match

**PAOK are rolling at home, and Kalamata haven't won away in ages** — this looks like a one-sided affair in Thessaloniki. 🏟️

PAOK have won 3 of their last 5 and look sharp, while Kalamata are limping along with just 1 win in the same stretch and 0 victories in their last 10 meetings against this lot.

Key storylines:

- **PAOK's midfield dominance**: Zafeiris, Santamaria, and Taison should control the tempo against a Kalamata side that's struggled for consistency.
- **Kalamata's away curse**: One draw and three losses in their last five — this trip to Toumba is exactly the kind of fixture where they tend to fold.
- **Home fortress**: PAOK are 2-0 at Toumba this season (vs Aris) and have the personnel to suffocate visitors with width (Kenny, Elustondo, Pelkas).

Expected lineups:

- **PAOK**: Tsiftsis, Baba, Michailidis, Elustondo, Kenny, Zafeiris, Santamaria, Taison, Pelkas, Živković, Ndiaye
- **PS Kalamata**: Gelios, Kaloutsikidis, Rodrigues, Stroungis, Alonso, Piñeiro, Diarra, Moreira, Cataldi, Hamza, Bolívar

Prediction:

**PAOK 3-0 PS Kalamata**

PAOK have the edge in every department — expect a clinical home performance. ✌️

Match facts

Stadium

Toumba Stadium

City

Thessaloniki

Referee

Alexandros Katsikogiannis

4.85 yellows/match · 13 matches

Kickoff

12 Oct, 15:00 UTC

Competition

Stoiximan Super League

Highlights & clips

PAOK 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 PS Kalamata

99 A. Tsiftsis 5.8 3 J. Kenny 6.7 19 D. Costa 6.3 6 A. Elustondo 6.3 ↑ 46' 21 R. Baba 6.4 20 C. Zafeiris 6.4 16 O. Ugrešić 6.6 ↑ 74' 14 A. Živković 7.3 ↑ 46' 41 D. Monastirlis 6.5 ↑ 63' 24 S. Banza 6.6 ↑ 74' 27 C. Ndiaye 6.7 40 N. Vasiljević 6.7 22 P. Kaloutsikidis 6.7 4 S. Stroungis 7.1 19 J. Bakayoko 6.9 ↑ 73' 17 J. Alonso 7.9 23 G. Piñeiro 6.5 7 J. Cataldi 6.6 ↑ 78' 77 K. Vargas 8.9 10 A. Sigurðsson 6.7 ↑ 84' 8 A. Liatsikouras 6.7 ↑ 84' 11 J. Miranda 6.7 ↑ 84'

Substitutes

5DG. Michailidis↓ 46'6.5 32DG. Taylor 4DP. Hatzidiakos 10MD. Pelkas↓ 63'6.9 18MK. Jakić↓ 74'6.7 11MTaison↓ 74'6.7 52MD. Chatsidis↓ 46'6.5 2MM. Camara 13MD. Giannoulis 7MB. Santamaria 56FA. Mythou 47FS. Shoretire

Coach: Alessio Lisci

Substitutes

26GP. Ginis 1GI. Gelios 97DRodrigues↓ 73'7.3 29DU. Ignjatović 44DA. Guessand 12DI. Chatzitheodoridis 6MD. Diarra↓ 78'7.1 20MA. M. Moreira↓ 84'6.8 24ME. Hamza↓ 84'6.4 32MJ. Bonetto 14MB. Zidane 91FD. Kurminowski↓ 84'7.0

Coach: Panagiotis Christofileas

Top stats

61%Possession39%

1.25Expected goals (xG)2.36

19Total shots12

5Shots on target6

2Big chances3

7Corners2

Shots

9Shots off target5

5Blocked shots1

12Shots inside box8

7Shots outside box4

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed1

0.05Goals prevented0.02

Attack

38Touches in box21

60Final third entries45

1Offsides2

12Free kicks7

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

505Passes324

423Accurate passes259

17/45 (38%)Long balls29/50 (58%)

5/22 (23%)Crosses5/11 (45%)

22Throw-ins24

Duels

54Duels46

37/67 (55%)Ground duels30/67 (45%)

13/26 (50%)Aerial duels13/26 (50%)

7/18 (39%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)

7Dispossessed12

Defending

18Tackles18

78Tackles won78

8Interceptions7

27Clearances39

49Recoveries49

Discipline

8Fouls12

1Yellow cards2

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves4

0Big saves1

8Goal kicks8

0Punches3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

PAOK 78%

14%

Kalamata 8%

1X2PAOK to win 78% · 1.50 @ William Hill

Who winsPAOK to win (DNB) 85% · 1.10 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.50 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.80 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.23 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.84 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.27 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.49 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 14% · 3.38 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle

1X2Kalamata to win 8% · 9.10 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.20

PAOK

6.50

Draw

11.60

PS Kalamata

Double Chanceconsensus

1.04

PAOK or Draw

1.10

PAOK or PS Kalamata

4.37

Draw or PS Kalamata

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.10

Yes

1.68

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

1.85

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

21.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

17.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.13

Over 1.50

5.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.52

Over 2.50

2.40

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.25

Over 3.50

1.57

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.00

Over 4.50

1.20

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.06

PAOK

8.25

PS Kalamata

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.44

Over 7.50

2.39

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.82

Over 8.50

1.90

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.27

Over 9.50

1.49

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.88

Over 10.50

1.27

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.80

Over 11.50

1.14

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

PAOK to win or draw

✗

92% confidence

PAOK to avoid defeat

✗

85% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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