Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**PAOK rolls into a derby bloodbath at the Toumba with the home crowd at their back and Asteras Aktor's slump train rolling in the other direction.** 🔴⚪ The hosts are 3W in their last five; the visitors have managed just one W and three draws in theirs, losing 5-1 to Panathinaikos last time out. That's the kind of form gap that hurts.
PAOK dominate the head-to-head badly — 23 wins in 46 matchups. They've also got a firing attack with Taison and O. Ugrešić linking up, even if D. Pelkas (knee) and J. Pavlenka (shoulder) are out. Asteras are leaky defensively and struggling to string wins together; they'll likely sit deep and hope for a counter.
Key storylines:
- **PAOK's home fortress** vs a visiting side that can't buy a W — form is everything right now
- **Taison and O. Ugrešić** orchestrating at the tip of PAOK's midfield — Asteras' D. Kourbelis will have his hands full
- **Asteras need a steal** — F. Macheda and J. Bartolo are dangerous on the break but need space
Expected lineups:
- **PAOK**: A. Tsiftsis, R. Baba, D. Costa, A. Elustondo, J. Kenny, C. Zafeiris, K. Jakić, Taison, O. Ugrešić, A. Živković, C. Ndiaye
- **Asteras Aktor**: N. Papadopoulos, F. Brorsson, D. Laskaris, K. Chrysopoulos, A. Mendez, G. Kotsiras, E. González, D. Kourbelis, K. Ketu, F. Macheda, J. Bartolo
Prediction:
**PAOK 2–0 Asteras Aktor**
Hosts' class and fitness edge should be too much for a visiting side low on confidence.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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