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Camilo Ayala
Alianza Valledupar FC
Atlético Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Atlético Bucaramanga
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
27822 EUR · live
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
60.7%
-34.5 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.0%
+20.9 vs price
Draw
23.0 · implied 4.3%
18.3%
+13.9 vs price
Half time
199 EUR · live
Draw
13.5 · implied 7.4%
76.0%
+68.6 vs price
Away
1.08 · implied 92.6%
21.0%
-71.6 vs price
Home
23.0 · implied 4.3%
3.0%
-1.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
3507 EUR · live
Under
4.7 · implied 21.3%
56.1%
+34.8 vs price
Over
1.29 · implied 77.5%
51.3%
-26.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2378 EUR · live
Under
1.45 · implied 69.0%
79.2%
+10.3 vs price
Over
3.55 · implied 28.2%
20.7%
-7.4 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 7 clips
Player of the match
Match events
5'
⚽
F. Charrupí · assist E. Batalla0–1
28'
⚽
C. Vergara · assist D. Quiñones1–1
34'
⚽
L. Pons · assist F. Sambueza1–2
37'
F. Sambueza · Foul
Half-time · 1–2
47'
F. Hinestroza · Foul
63'
🔁
A. Zárate ◂ L. Flores
67'
🔁
F. Cantillo ◂ C. Esparragoza
69'
🔁
A. Murillo ◂ F. Hinestroza
69'
🔁
F. Castro ◂ F. Charrupí
69'
F. Pardo · Foul
75'
🔁
M. Martínez ◂ D. Quiñones
75'
🔁
I. Alba ◂ F. Pardo
76'
🔁
A. Gutiérrez ◂ N. Castrillón
76'
🔁
B. Caicedo ◂ L. Pons
81'
⚽
M. Martínez2–2
85'
J. García · Foul
86'
🔁
L. Palacios ◂ J. Muñoz
Full-time · 2–3
90'
⚽
E. Batalla · assist B. Caicedo2–3
90'+3
E. Batalla · Argument
Coaches
Camilo AyalaPablo Peirano 
Recent form
Alianza Valledupar FCLHDeportes Tolima1-2
DHFortaleza FC1-1
WAAtlético Bucaramanga2-1
LADeportivo Cali0-1
WHReal Santander3-0
Atlético BucaramangaDHCúcuta Deportivo1-1
DHLlaneros FC1-1
WAMillonarios1-0
LHAlianza Valledupar FC1-2
LHBoca Juniors de Cali2-3
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
City
Valledupar
Referee
Kickoff
09 Aug, 21:05 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
Alianza Valledupar FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Atlético Bucaramanga
1
J. Wallens
5.9
60
Y. Rosales
6.4
32
J. Viveros
6.2
5
P. Franco
6.5
33
J. Lasso
5.7
24
F. Cantillo
6.5
↑ 67'
7
J. Castillo
6.8
23
I. Alba
6.9
↑ 75'
77
M. Martínez
7.5
↑ 75'
88
L. Palacios
6.5
↑ 86'
18
C. Vergara
7.2
25
C. Fiermarín
5.9
19
A. Gutiérrez
7.2
↑ 76'
24
J. Ortiz
6.8
23
C. Romaña
6.1
4
J. García
6.3
22
F. Castro
6.4
↑ 69'
20
A. Zárate
6.4
↑ 63'
5
A. Murillo
6.6
↑ 69'
10
F. Sambueza
7.3
9
B. Caicedo
6.7
↑ 76'
17
E. Batalla
8.1
Substitutes
40GE. Beltrán
22DJ. Figueroa
29DJ. Rojas
10MD. Quiñones↓ 75'7.6
15MC. Esparragoza↓ 67'7.0
8MJ. Muñoz↓ 86'6.5
17MF. Pardo↓ 75'6.1
14MC. Villegas
4J. Mosquera
Coach: Camilo Ayala
Substitutes
12GD. Novoa
8DF. Hinestroza↓ 69'6.6
6DN. Castrillón↓ 76'6.3
21MF. Charrupí↓ 69'7.4
28ML. Flores↓ 63'7.0
11MF. Salazar
27FL. Pons↓ 76'7.0
Coach: Pablo Peirano
Top stats
50%Possession50%
0.69Expected goals (xG)1.83
11Total shots7
3Shots on target5
2Big chances2
3Corners0
Shots
4Shots off target2
4Blocked shots0
3Shots inside box4
8Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
-0.9Goals prevented-1.39
Attack
13Touches in box17
59Final third entries58
19Free kicks11
5Fouled in final third0
Passing
439Passes441
372Accurate passes370
23/45 (51%)Long balls37/59 (63%)
1/13 (8%)Crosses3/9 (33%)
25Throw-ins10
Duels
52Duels48
34/66 (52%)Ground duels32/66 (48%)
6/11 (55%)Aerial duels5/11 (45%)
1/11 (9%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
15Tackles17
87Tackles won82
19Interceptions3
14Clearances18
36Recoveries44
Discipline
11Fouls19
1Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
5Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 27 bookmakers
Who winsBucaramanga to win (DNB) 57% · 1.88 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 82% · 1.18 @ Novibet
BTTSBTTS: No 56% · 1.72 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 32% · 2.98 @ Betsson
1X2Bucaramanga to win 38% · 2.80 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.39 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 57% · 1.75 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.74 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 62% · 1.55 @ Bet365
1X2Alianza Valledupar to win 30% · 2.78 @ Betsson
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.73
Alianza Valledupar FC
2.89
Draw
2.76
Atlético Bucaramanga
Double Chanceconsensus
1.42
Alianza Valledupar FC or Draw
1.38
Alianza Valledupar FC or Atlético Bucaramanga
1.43
Draw or Atlético Bucaramanga
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.13
Yes
1.64
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.13
Over 0.50 ▲
6.00
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.53
Over 1.50 ▲
2.44
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.61
Over 2.50 ▲
1.48
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.50
Over 3.50 ▲
1.15
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
11.67
Over 4.50 ▲
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.86
Alianza Valledupar FC ▼
1.85
Atlético Bucaramanga ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.10
Over 5.50
6.20
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.20
Over 6.50
3.96
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.38
Over 7.50
2.75
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.68
Over 8.50
2.03
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.13
Over 9.50
1.62
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.91
Over 10.50
1.34
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.98
Over 11.50
1.21
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Under 3.5 goals
✗
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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