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Sebastián Oliveros
Deportes Tolima
Atlético Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Atlético Bucaramanga
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
21225 EUR · live
Draw
1.18 · implied 84.7%
49.8%
-34.9 vs price
Home
9.8 · implied 10.2%
34.3%
+24.1 vs price
Away
17.0 · implied 5.9%
15.9%
+10.0 vs price
Half time
401 EUR · live
Away
4.8 · implied 20.8%
54.4%
+33.6 vs price
Draw
2.1 · implied 47.6%
40.4%
-7.2 vs price
Home
3.3 · implied 30.3%
4.7%
-25.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
18756 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
85.6%
-12.5 vs price
Over
90.0 · implied 1.1%
14.6%
+13.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1830 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
98.3%
+2.1 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
1.6%
-1.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
3'
L. Flores · Foul
23'
VAR
Goal not given after review · J. Ortiz
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
F. Castro ◂ L. Flores
55'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · H. Martinez
57'
S. Guzmán · Argument
65'
🔁
A. Zárate ◂ F. Charrupí
65'
🔁
K. Londoño ◂ L. Pons
66'
🔁
K. Florez ◂ L. Sánchez
66'
🔁
J. Mosquera ◂ S. Guzmán
76'
J. García · Foul
77'
🔁
J. Valencia ◂ S. A. A. Castillo
80'
🔁
A. Gutiérrez ◂ N. Castrillón
80'
🔁
F. Salazar ◂ F. Hinestroza
89'
🔁
D. Pedrozo ◂ J. Hernández
89'
H. Martinez · Argument
Full-time · 0–0
90'
S. Oliveros · Argument
90'+1
D. Pedrozo · Foul
90'+2
A. Zárate · Foul
90'+4
F. Sambueza · Foul
Coaches
Pablo Peirano 
Recent form
LHIndependiente del Valle0-1
WHInternacional de Bogotá2-1
LHIndependiente Medellín2-3
WAAlianza Valledupar FC2-1
LADeportes Quindío1-2
WAAlianza Valledupar FC3-2
DHCúcuta Deportivo1-1
DHLlaneros FC1-1
WAMillonarios1-0
LHAlianza Valledupar FC1-2
Where to watch
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Fox DeportesRCN Nuestra Tele
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
City
Ibague
Kickoff
22 Aug, 21:05 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
1
N. Volpi
6.6
17
C. Arrieta
7.2
71
Y. Osorio
7.3
2
A. Angulo
7.4
4
D. Pedrozo
↑ 89'
14
H. Martinez
7.0
33
J. Mosquera
6.9
↑ 66'
7
J. Hurtado
6.7
18
K. Florez
7.1
↑ 66'
24
A. Parra
6.9
11
J. Valencia
6.4
↑ 77'
25
C. Fiermarín
7.0
23
C. Romaña
7.6
24
J. Ortiz
7.4
4
J. García
6.7
19
A. Gutiérrez
6.7
↑ 80'
20
A. Zárate
6.4
↑ 65'
22
F. Castro
6.6
↑ 46'
11
F. Salazar
6.3
↑ 80'
10
F. Sambueza
6.8
7
K. Londoño
6.9
↑ 65'
17
E. Batalla
6.0
Substitutes
13GM. Ortega
20DJ. Hernández↓ 89'7.6
3DJ. Ángulo
10ML. Sánchez↓ 66'7.1
32MS. Guzmán↓ 66'7.0
16MV. Reyes
31MY. Moreno
15FS. A. A. Castillo↓ 77'6.2
19FS. Joven
Coach: Sebastián Oliveros
Substitutes
12GD. Novoa
8DF. Hinestroza↓ 80'6.9
6DN. Castrillón↓ 80'6.6
28ML. Flores↓ 46'7.1
21MF. Charrupí↓ 65'6.9
27FL. Pons↓ 65'6.5
9FB. Caicedo
Coach: Pablo Peirano
Top stats
59%Possession41%
1.1Expected goals (xG)0.23
14Total shots7
3Shots on target1
2Big chances0
6Corners1
Shots
5Shots off target4
6Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box1
5Shots outside box6
2Hit woodwork0
2Big chances missed0
0.03Goals prevented0.17
Attack
22Touches in box5
56Final third entries57
1Offsides1
18Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
475Passes332
395Accurate passes261
20/41 (49%)Long balls23/63 (37%)
4/17 (24%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
23Throw-ins11
Duels
55Duels45
31/60 (52%)Ground duels29/60 (48%)
13/20 (65%)Aerial duels7/20 (35%)
4/4 (100%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)
13Dispossessed4
Defending
9Tackles13
78Tackles won77
6Interceptions13
12Clearances17
45Recoveries45
Discipline
13Fouls18
3Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
5Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 59 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.11 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.20 @ betfair
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.22 @ 1xBet
1X2Tolima to win 49% · 2.90 @ granmadrid
1X2Draw 28% · 2.32 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 69% · 1.37 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.66 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.79 @ Unibet
Who winsTolima to win (DNB) 57% · 1.72 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.62 @ 10bet
1X2Bucaramanga to win 23% · 3.92 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.23
Deportes Tolima ▲
2.89
Draw ▲
3.39
Atlético Bucaramanga ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.27
Deportes Tolima or Draw ▼
1.35
Deportes Tolima or Atlético Bucaramanga ▼
1.57
Draw or Atlético Bucaramanga ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.99
Yes ▲
1.71
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.38
YES
1.53
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.10
YES
1.33
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
6.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.44
Over 1.50 ▲
2.56
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.37
Over 2.50 ▲
1.51
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.42
Over 3.50 ▲
1.16
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.00
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.62
Deportes Tolima
2.13
Atlético Bucaramanga
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.41
Over 7.50
2.62
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.77
Over 8.50
1.95
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.18
Over 9.50
1.60
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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