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Alfredo Arias
Junior Barranquilla
Independiente Santa Fe
Junior Barranquilla
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Independiente Santa Fe
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
55103 EUR · live
Home
2.1 · implied 47.6%
89.8%
+42.2 vs price
Away
4.7 · implied 21.3%
7.1%
-14.2 vs price
Draw
3.15 · implied 31.7%
3.1%
-28.6 vs price
Half time
69 EUR
Away
5.8 · implied 17.2%
99.9%
+82.7 vs price
Home
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
2396 EUR · live
Over
3.1 · implied 32.3%
62.2%
+29.9 vs price
Under
1.47 · implied 68.0%
37.8%
-30.3 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
1'
E. Murillo Renteria · Foul
21'
🔁
J. Canchimbo ◂ B. Castrillón
40'
P. Repetto · Argument
43'
Nahuel Bustos · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
D. Torres ◂ E. Murillo Renteria
46'
🔁
D. Caicedo ◂ J. Sarmiento
58'
L. Muriel · Foul
59'
🔁
G. Paiva ◂ F. Fydriszewski
59'
🔁
J. Rivas ◂ J. C. Pestaña
59'
🔁
E. Rodríguez ◂ Nahuel Bustos
66'
⚽
L. Muriel · assist G. Paiva1–0
68'
🔁
H. Palacios ◂ M. Puerta
68'
🔁
J. Obrian ◂ L. Palacios
87'
🔁
E. Herrera ◂ J. Canchimbo
88'
⚽
F. Fagúndez · assist M. Lovera1–1
88'
🔁
C. Portocarrero ◂ J. Torres
Full-time · 1–1
90'+6
M. Silveira · Argument
Coaches
Pablo Repetto 
Recent form
LAAmérica de Cali2-4
DHOnce Caldas1-1
LHMillonarios0-1
DABarranquilla FC3-3
LADeportes Tolima1-2
DARiver Plate1-1
DHAmérica de Cali0-0
DHRiver Plate0-0
WHBoyacá Chicó FC2-0
WHUnión Magdalena2-0
Where to watch
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Win+ Futbol
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez
City
Barranquilla
Kickoff
29 Aug, 23:30 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
1
M. Silveira
6.8
34
D. Soccaras
7.0
98
J. Peña
7.5
22
J. Rivas
6.7
↑ 59'
26
Y. Suárez
6.9
25
D. Caicedo
7.2
↑ 46'
14
J. D. Ríos
7.4
80
F. Ángel
7.8
21
J. Canchimbo
6.7
↑ 21'
9
G. Paiva
6.8
↑ 59'
10
L. Muriel
7.5
12
W. Asprilla
5.9
13
H. Palacios
7.0
↑ 68'
18
E. Olivera
6.8
15
I. Scarpeta
6.8
24
J. Angulo
6.8
16
D. Torres
6.7
↑ 46'
39
C. Portocarrero
6.5
↑ 88'
77
J. Obrian
6.6
↑ 68'
9
F. Fagúndez
8.2
17
M. Lovera
7.2
25
E. Rodríguez
6.1
↑ 59'
Top stats
57%Possession43%
1.29Expected goals (xG)0.73
19Total shots14
4Shots on target4
1Big chances1
6Corners5
Shots
10Shots off target4
5Blocked shots6
8Shots inside box9
11Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
-0.03Goals prevented-0.74
Attack
23Touches in box15
69Final third entries48
1Offsides1
13Free kicks15
5Fouled in final third2
Passing
425Passes326
351Accurate passes247
40/57 (70%)Long balls22/57 (39%)
9/27 (33%)Crosses6/17 (35%)
10Throw-ins18
Duels
54Duels46
39/72 (54%)Ground duels33/72 (46%)
7/13 (54%)Aerial duels6/13 (46%)
7/14 (50%)Dribbles4/14 (29%)
7Dispossessed9
Defending
19Tackles14
79Tackles won86
6Interceptions4
16Clearances26
56Recoveries44
Discipline
15Fouls13
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
6Goal kicks13
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.15 @ 1xBet
1X2Junior Barranquilla to win 49% · 2.30 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.49 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.62 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.97 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.55 @ 10bet
Who winsJunior Barranquilla to win (DNB) 54% · 1.30 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ 10bet
1X2Santa Fe to win 23% · 4.27 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Junior Barranquilla
3.40
Draw
4.00
Independiente Santa Fe
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
Junior Barranquilla or Draw
1.27
Junior Barranquilla or Independiente Santa Fe
1.87
Draw or Independiente Santa Fe
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.83
Yes
1.88
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.38
YES
1.53
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.95
YES
1.20
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.10
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.05
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.27
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.96
Over 2.50
1.81
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.45
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.25
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.25
Junior Barranquilla
3.60
Independiente Santa Fe
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.46
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.84
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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