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Camilo Ayala
Alianza Valledupar FC
Atlético Nacional
Alianza Valledupar FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Atlético Nacional
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
34386 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
86.7%
-12.3 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.9%
+7.8 vs price
Draw
7.2 · implied 13.9%
5.6%
-8.3 vs price
Half time
215 EUR · live
Draw
2.3 · implied 43.5%
71.7%
+28.2 vs price
Home
350.0 · implied 0.3%
35.8%
+35.5 vs price
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
19.5%
-78.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4306 EUR · live
Under
10.0 · implied 10.0%
58.7%
+48.7 vs price
Over
1.1 · implied 90.9%
43.3%
-47.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
5'
⚽
A. Sarmiento · assist S. Velásquez0–1
8'
E. Meza · Foul
16'
W. Tesillo · Foul
19'
⚽
A. Morelos · assist Y. Perlaza0–2
24'
⚽
M. Moreno · assist A. Morelos0–3
26'
I. Alba · Foul
31'
VAR
Penalty awarded · F. Pardo
34'
⚽
F. Pardo (pen)1–3
36'
🔁
M. Martínez ◂ I. Alba
36'
Y. Rosales · Argument
Half-time · 1–3
46'
🔁
J. Zapata ◂ S. Velásquez
46'
🔁
C. Esparragoza ◂ E. Meza
57'
🔁
P. Franco ◂ Y. Rosales
61'
🔁
X. Rios ◂ Y. Perlaza
61'
🔁
C. Arango ◂ E. Cardona
69'
🔁
H. Rada ◂ C. Vergara
69'
🔁
D. Quiñones ◂ F. Pardo
72'
🔁
K. Parra ◂ A. Sarmiento
79'
⚽
M. Moreno · assist J. M. Rengifo1–4
80'
🔁
J. Rosa ◂ M. Moreno
Full-time · 1–5
90'+1
C. Esparragoza · Foul
90'+3
⚽
J. Rosa · assist N. Parra1–5
Coaches
Lucas González 
Recent form
LACúcuta Deportivo0-1
DHDeportivo Pereira0-0
LHAtlético Bucaramanga2-3
LHDeportes Tolima1-2
DHFortaleza FC1-1
WHDeportivo Cali2-1
WAFortaleza FC2-1
LAAmérica de Cali0-1
WAJaguares de Córdoba3-0
WATigres FC2-0
Where to watch
Betano
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
City
Valledupar
Kickoff
30 Aug, 01:30 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
1
J. Wallens
6.6
5
P. Franco
6.0
↑ 57'
22
J. Figueroa
5.8
32
J. Viveros
5.8
33
J. Lasso
5.2
77
M. Martínez
6.7
↑ 36'
15
C. Esparragoza
6.3
↑ 46'
10
D. Quiñones
7.1
↑ 69'
55
W. Fernández
6.4
8
J. Muñoz
6.2
26
H. Rada
6.5
↑ 69'
34
F. Armani
7.0
31
X. Rios
6.7
↑ 61'
3
N. Parra
6.8
16
W. Tesillo
6.7
80
J. Zapata
7.1
↑ 46'
26
A. Marín
7.1
19
J. M. Rengifo
6.5
24
J. Rosa
7.0
↑ 80'
17
C. Arango
6.3
↑ 61'
30
K. Parra
6.6
↑ 72'
9
A. Morelos
7.9
Substitutes
40GE. Beltrán
23DI. Alba↓ 36'6.1
60DY. Rosales↓ 57'5.7
29DJ. Rojas
17MF. Pardo↓ 69'7.4
6ME. Meza↓ 46'6.3
14MC. Villegas
18FC. Vergara↓ 69'6.7
4J. Mosquera
Coach: Camilo Ayala
Substitutes
25GL. Marquinez
27DY. Perlaza↓ 61'6.7
33DS. Velásquez↓ 46'6.4
28DS. Garcia
7MM. Moreno↓ 80'9.1
29MA. Sarmiento↓ 72'7.5
10ME. Cardona↓ 61'7.3
99MI. Poveda
35MM. Lozano
Coach: Lucas González
Top stats
37%Possession63%
1.09Expected goals (xG)2.79
8Total shots23
2Shots on target14
1Big chances3
2Corners6
Shots
5Shots off target7
1Blocked shots2
5Shots inside box14
3Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored3
1.04Goals prevented-0.21
Attack
11Touches in box29
34Final third entries61
3Offsides3
12Free kicks16
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
248Passes439
179Accurate passes375
21/46 (46%)Long balls27/47 (57%)
5/15 (33%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
12Throw-ins15
Duels
48Duels52
22/46 (48%)Ground duels24/46 (52%)
5/10 (50%)Aerial duels5/10 (50%)
1/5 (20%)Dribbles1/5 (20%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
9Tackles8
67Tackles won88
6Interceptions3
12Clearances16
45Recoveries45
Discipline
16Fouls13
4Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
9Saves1
7Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsAtl. Nacional to win (DNB) 69% · 1.40 @ 888Sport
1X2Atl. Nacional to win 47% · 2.45 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.14 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.35 @ 10bet
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.28 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.50 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.53 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.84 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.38 @ William Hill
1X2Alianza Valledupar to win 24% · 4.28 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.85
Alianza Valledupar FC
3.25
Draw
1.94
Atlético Nacional
Double Chanceconsensus
1.80
Alianza Valledupar FC or Draw
1.29
Alianza Valledupar FC or Atlético Nacional
1.22
Draw or Atlético Nacional
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.86
Yes
1.83
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.60
YES
1.25
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.45
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
2.92
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.17
Over 2.50
1.65
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.98
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.60
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.88
Alianza Valledupar FC
1.37
Atlético Nacional
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.35
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.86
Over 9.50
1.84
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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