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Luis Perea
Independiente Medellín
Llaneros FC
Independiente Medellín
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Llaneros FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
33863 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
89.0%
-9.0 vs price
Draw
48.0 · implied 2.1%
5.6%
+3.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.4%
+5.3 vs price
Half time
242 EUR · live
Away
6.6 · implied 15.2%
83.1%
+67.9 vs price
Draw
1.95 · implied 51.3%
11.2%
-40.1 vs price
Home
2.32 · implied 43.1%
5.0%
-38.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4104 EUR · live
Over
1.25 · implied 80.0%
70.6%
-9.4 vs price
Under
4.9 · implied 20.4%
29.4%
+9.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1589 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
94.1%
-2.1 vs price
Over
15.0 · implied 6.7%
5.9%
-0.8 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
3'
Y. González · Foul
17'
⚽
J. Medina · assist F. Fabra1–0
21'
⚽
J. E. Montaño · assist J. Quintero2–0
27'
J. Contreras · Foul
28'
🔁
J. Castilla ◂ D. Quintero
44'
⚽
F. Meza · assist J. Ramirez2–1
Half-time · 2–1
50'
K. Mantilla · Foul
54'
K. Osorio · Foul
58'
🔁
J. Escobar ◂ J. Medranda
58'
🔁
L. Miranda ◂ K. Osorio
61'
L. Miranda · Foul
63'
🔁
H. Loboa ◂ L. Escorcia
63'
🔁
K. Klinger ◂ J. E. Montaño
63'
🔁
C. Lucumi Gonzalez ◂ J. Medina
64'
J. Pertuz · Foul
74'
🔁
B. Chury ◂ F. Castañeda
74'
🔁
Y. Mena ◂ J. Ramirez
77'
🔁
J. Mena ◂ Y. González
78'
K. Klinger · Foul
84'
🔁
D. Moreno ◂ A. Martegani
84'
🔁
N. Erazo ◂ F. Fabra
87'
🔁
N. Ospina ◂ C. Cortés
Full-time · 2–1
90'+2
C. Lucumi Gonzalez · Foul
Coaches
Luis PereaJosé Luis García 
Recent form
Independiente MedellínLHCúcuta Deportivo0-1
WADeportes Tolima3-2
WHDeportivo Cali1-0
LAVasco da Gama0-1
WHDeportivo Pasto3-2
Llaneros FCLHMillonarios0-2
WADeportivo Pasto1-0
DARionegro Águilas Doradas1-1
WHFortaleza FC3-1
DAAtlético Bucaramanga1-1
Where to watch
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
City
Medellin
Kickoff
30 Aug, 21:10 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
Independiente Medellín
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Llaneros FC
25
E. Chaux
6.4
16
H. Loboa
7.1
↑ 63'
4
K. Mantilla
6.8
5
J. Varela
6.5
31
D. Moreno
6.6
↑ 84'
6
D. Moreno
6.6
24
N. Erazo
6.9
↑ 84'
13
J. Mena
6.6
↑ 77'
8
J. Quintero
7.4
34
K. Klinger
6.6
↑ 63'
32
C. Lucumi Gonzalez
6.6
↑ 63'
22
R. Romaña
5.8
4
J. Pertuz
6.0
13
J. Castilla
6.8
↑ 28'
2
H. Mena
6.8
21
F. Meza
7.6
16
J. Escobar
7.0
↑ 58'
17
Y. Mena
6.3
↑ 74'
20
B. Chury
6.5
↑ 74'
7
L. Miranda
6.3
↑ 58'
10
N. Ospina
6.5
↑ 87'
70
J. Contreras
6.4
Substitutes
1GS. Ichazo
18DF. Fabra↓ 84'7.0
39DL. Escorcia↓ 63'6.3
19DA. Simarra
11MY. González↓ 77'6.7
21MA. Martegani↓ 84'6.6
14MB. Perlaza
9FJ. Medina↓ 63'7.6
20FJ. E. Montaño↓ 63'7.3
Coach: Luis Perea
Substitutes
12GJ. Loaiza
94DJ. Medranda↓ 58'6.5
26DD. Quintero↓ 28'6.2
3DV. Vidal
8MJ. Ramirez↓ 74'7.1
33MK. Osorio↓ 58'6.4
32MF. Castañeda↓ 74'6.2
9FC. Cortés↓ 87'6.2
Coach: José Luis García
Top stats
50%Possession50%
1.23Expected goals (xG)0.66
11Total shots7
3Shots on target1
1Big chances0
2Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target2
2Blocked shots4
6Shots inside box4
5Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
-0.4Goals prevented-0.99
Attack
16Touches in box11
46Final third entries61
1Offsides1
10Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
421Passes401
357Accurate passes335
24/47 (51%)Long balls36/62 (58%)
3/8 (38%)Crosses4/25 (16%)
21Throw-ins25
Duels
59Duels41
28/53 (53%)Ground duels25/53 (47%)
15/20 (75%)Aerial duels5/20 (25%)
5/13 (38%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)
3Dispossessed7
Defending
14Tackles11
79Tackles won73
4Interceptions7
15Clearances16
37Recoveries36
Discipline
10Fouls10
4Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
0Saves1
5Goal kicks10
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
1X2Ind. Medellín to win 61% · 1.85 @ William Hill
Who winsInd. Medellín to win (DNB) 73% · 1.22 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.44 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.33 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.18 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 23% · 2.70 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.15 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.57 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 1.95 @ 10bet
1X2Llaneros to win 15% · 5.92 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.50
Independiente Medellín
3.90
Draw
6.18
Llaneros FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.10
Independiente Medellín or Draw
1.18
Independiente Medellín or Llaneros FC
2.45
Draw or Llaneros FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes
1.76
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.00
YES
1.73
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.50
YES
1.11
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.40
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
9.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.86
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.38
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.20
Independiente Medellín
4.10
Llaneros FC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.57
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.51
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.77
Over 9.50
1.94
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Independiente Medellín to win or draw
✓
85% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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