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Pablo Repetto
Independiente Santa Fe
Fortaleza FC
Independiente Santa Fe
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Fortaleza FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
20272 EUR · live
Home
1.09 · implied 91.7%
82.8%
-8.9 vs price
Away
55.0 · implied 1.8%
9.3%
+7.5 vs price
Draw
15.5 · implied 6.5%
7.9%
+1.4 vs price
Half time
407 EUR · live
Away
6.6 · implied 15.2%
44.4%
+29.3 vs price
Home
2.5 · implied 40.0%
35.1%
-4.9 vs price
Draw
2.3 · implied 43.5%
20.4%
-23.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9996 EUR · live
Under
7.4 · implied 13.5%
58.7%
+45.2 vs price
Over
1.18 · implied 84.7%
43.9%
-40.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
427 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
99.9%
+9.0 vs price
Over
0.0%
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
F. Fagúndez1–0
23'
⚽
Nahuel Bustos2–0
34'
J. Cajares · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
J. Salas ◂ A. D. Batioja
54'
🔁
J. Medina ◂ E. Cabezas
54'
🔁
I. M. Cortes ◂ J. Sinisterra
57'
🔁
D. Torres ◂ J. Torres
57'
🔁
M. Lovera ◂ E. Rodríguez
57'
🔁
H. Rodallega ◂ F. Fagúndez
66'
A. Copete · Foul
69'
D. Torres · Foul
71'
🔁
E. Olivera ◂ V. Moreno
75'
🔁
F. Pulicastro ◂ J. Blanco
77'
⚽
Nahuel Bustos2–1
79'
🔁
J. García ◂ S. Navarro
84'
L. Pico · Foul
87'
🔁
J. Obrian ◂ L. Palacios
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
⚽
J. García · assist F. Pulicastro2–2
Coaches
Pablo RepettoDiego Arias 
Recent form
Independiente Santa FeWHMillonarios3-2
DAJunior Barranquilla1-1
DARiver Plate1-1
DHAmérica de Cali0-0
DHRiver Plate0-0
Fortaleza FCLHOnce Caldas1-2
DABoyacá Chicó FC0-0
LHAtlético Nacional1-2
WHCúcuta Deportivo2-0
LALlaneros FC1-3
Where to watch
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
City
Bogota
Kickoff
05 Sep, 23:25 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
Independiente Santa Fe
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Fortaleza FC
12
W. Asprilla
6.9
4
M. Puerta
6.5
15
I. Scarpeta
6.2
18
E. Olivera
6.2
↑ 71'
24
J. Angulo
6.4
77
J. Obrian
6.5
↑ 87'
6
K. Toscano
6.5
16
D. Torres
6.9
↑ 57'
17
M. Lovera
6.5
↑ 57'
11
H. Rodallega
7.0
↑ 57'
19
Nahuel Bustos
6.7
1
W. Barlasina
6.4
7
I. M. Cortes
6.8
↑ 54'
6
Y. Díaz
6.2
2
A. Copete
6.4
16
J. Cajares
6.0
25
J. García
7.4
↑ 79'
14
L. Pico
6.6
28
S. Vivas
7.1
5
J. Medina
7.2
↑ 54'
19
F. Pulicastro
6.9
↑ 75'
24
J. Salas
6.4
↑ 46'
Substitutes
31GJ. Espitia
3DV. Moreno↓ 71'6.7
32DC. Mafla
7MJ. Torres↓ 57'7.0
25ME. Rodríguez↓ 57'6.8
39MC. Portocarrero
9FF. Fagúndez↓ 57'7.7
14FL. Palacios↓ 87'6.1
40FM. Palacios
Coach: Pablo Repetto
Top stats
50%Possession50%
1.43Expected goals (xG)0.78
16Total shots18
7Shots on target5
2Big chances1
4Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target9
3Blocked shots4
10Shots inside box7
6Shots outside box11
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
-0.95Goals prevented-0.75
Attack
22Touches in box20
52Final third entries44
0Offsides1
8Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third4
Passing
405Passes406
337Accurate passes344
29/64 (45%)Long balls12/27 (44%)
3/11 (27%)Crosses6/15 (40%)
16Throw-ins17
Duels
46Duels54
17/40 (43%)Ground duels23/40 (57%)
7/12 (58%)Aerial duels5/12 (42%)
4/10 (40%)Dribbles2/5 (40%)
5Dispossessed4
Defending
7Tackles11
100Tackles won91
8Interceptions10
15Clearances14
44Recoveries40
Discipline
11Fouls8
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
4Saves5
15Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsSanta Fe to win (DNB) 79% · 1.23 @ Betano
1X2Santa Fe to win 60% · 1.90 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 80%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 74%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.66 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 62%
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.20 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 25% · 2.40 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 50%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67%
1X2Fortaleza to win 16% · 6.00 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.55
Independiente Santa Fe
3.73
Draw
5.75
Fortaleza FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.00
Yes
1.73
No
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50
1.66
Under 2.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.22
Independiente Santa Fe
3.90
Fortaleza FC
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.10
Independiente Santa Fe
2.20
Draw
6.50
Fortaleza FC
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
1.90
Independiente Santa Fe
2.40
Draw
6.00
Fortaleza FC
Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus
6.00
Yes
1.12
No
Both Teams to Score (2nd Half)consensus
4.33
Yes
1.20
No
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Independiente Santa Fe to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
Under 3.5 goals
✗
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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