Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Pasto's home fortress meets a Caldas side clicking on all cylinders** — a classic mid-table scrap with very different vibes. 🔥
Pasto's been streaky (1W-2D-2L), but they've got real pedigree at the Libertad; Caldas just won three straight and look sharp. The head-to-head is dead even (9-7-5 all-time), so expect tight margins.
Key storylines:
- **Deportivo Pasto** banking on home advantage and familiarity with Estadio Departamental Libertad, though missing **E. Serje** to suspension stings
- **Once Caldas** riding a three-win streak and carrying genuine momentum into this road test
- Midfield battle between **Pasto's M. Pisano and J. Perlaza** versus **Caldas' Andres Colorado** and **M. Barrios** could decide the tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Deportivo Pasto**: E. Cabezas, M. Garavito, H. Goyes, J. Quiñones, N. Gil Uribe, M. Pisano, J. Perlaza, Y. Góez, D. Chávez, S. Córdoba, P. Preciado
- **Once Caldas**: F. Parra, J. D. Cuesta, D. Londoño, J. Cardona, A. Correa, Andres Colorado, M. Barrios, A. Roa, J. Zapata, J. Alvarado, P. Gómez
Prediction:
**1-1 draw**. Pasto's home strength keeps them level, but Caldas' form is too good to deny — a point apiece feels right. ⚽
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.