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Independiente Santa Fe
Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC
Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe
Llaneros FC
Independiente Santa Fe
Independiente Santa Fe
Wilmer Alberto Sandoval Galindo
Llaneros FC
Independiente Santa Fe
Llaneros FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Independiente Santa Fe
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Llaneros FC 1-0 Independiente Santa Fe.
90+3'
Attempt saved. H. Rodallega (Independiente Santa Fe), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.28.
90+2'
Independiente Santa Fe
Offside, Independiente Santa Fe.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
85'
Llaneros FC
Offside, Llaneros FC.
77'
Attempt blocked. E. Murillo Renteria (Independiente Santa Fe), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
75'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
66'
Attempt saved. J. Contreras (Llaneros FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.12.
66'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
65'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
50'
Attempt saved. J. Obrian (Independiente Santa Fe), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.
50'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Llaneros FC 0-0 Independiente Santa Fe.
45+6'
Attempt missed. J. Castilla (Llaneros FC), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
45+5'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
45+1'
Llaneros FC
Offside, Llaneros FC.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
36'
Independiente Santa Fe
Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.
25'
Independiente Santa Fe
Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.
23'
Independiente Santa Fe
Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.
16'
Llaneros FC
Corner, Llaneros FC.
10'
Independiente Santa Fe
Corner, Independiente Santa Fe.
7'
Independiente Santa Fe
Offside, Independiente Santa Fe.
1'
Kick-off: Llaneros FC vs Independiente Santa Fe.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
11756 EUR · live
Home
3.55 · implied 28.2%
46.1%
+18.0 vs price
Away
3.2 · implied 31.2%
39.8%
+8.5 vs price
Draw
2.42 · implied 41.3%
14.7%
-26.6 vs price
Half time
390 EUR · live
Away
4.0 · implied 25.0%
66.4%
+41.4 vs price
Draw
1.75 · implied 57.1%
28.5%
-28.7 vs price
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
4.9%
-20.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
8224 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
76.0%
-9.5 vs price
Over
6.8 · implied 14.7%
24.1%
+9.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
713 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
93.2%
-3.9 vs price
Over
48.0 · implied 2.1%
6.7%
+4.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
15'
J. Torres · Foul
24'
K. Rincón · Persistent fouling
28'
H. Rodallega · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
E. Rodríguez ◂ A. Zapata
46'
🔁
K. Toscano ◂ J. Torres
56'
🔁
M. Sierra ◂ K. Rincón
56'
🔁
J. Contreras ◂ L. Miranda
67'
🔁
K. Osorio ◂ J. Ramirez
67'
🔁
F. Castañeda ◂ J. Castilla
67'
🔁
C. Cortés ◂ Y. Mena
70'
🔁
E. Murillo Renteria ◂ D. Torres
71'
⚽
C. Cortés1–0
82'
🔁
M. Lovera ◂ I. Scarpeta
82'
🔁
L. Palacios ◂ J. Obrian
89'
K. Osorio · Foul
Full-time · 1–0
90'+4
M. Sierra · Time wasting
Coaches
Wilmer Alberto Sandoval GalindoPablo Repetto 
Recent form
Llaneros FCLAInternacional de Bogotá1-4
LAOnce Caldas0-1
LHAmérica de Cali1-2
LACúcuta Deportivo1-2
WHAtlético Nacional2-0
Independiente Santa FeDHFortaleza FC2-2
WAIndependiente Medellín1-0
WADeportivo Pereira2-1
DAUnión Magdalena1-1
LHDeportivo Cali0-1
About this match
**Llaneros need a spark at home, and Santa Fe's injury crisis might hand them one.** This is a tale of two very different trajectories — one team desperate, one stretched thin.
Llaneros have won just once in five, but they've got **home-field advantage** at Rey Pelé. Santa Fe, meanwhile, are the form side on paper (2W-2D-1L), except they're missing **five players** to injury, including key defenders and attacking depth. That's a lot of holes to patch.
Key storylines:
- **Llaneros' makeshift midfield** needs to press Santa Fe's injury-ravaged backline early; if they set the tempo, this could get ugly for the visitors
- **Santa Fe's attacking setup** still has teeth with **Nahuel Bustos** and **H. Rodallega**, but defensive cover is razor-thin without so many absentees
- **Head-to-head parity** (2-2 in their last four) means no clear edge, but home advantage tilts the scales toward the hosts
Expected lineups:
- **Llaneros FC**: R. Romaña, J. Medranda, F. Meza, H. Mena, M. Sierra, F. Castañeda, K. Osorio, L. Miranda
- **Independiente Santa Fe**: A. Mosquera, C. Mafla, V. Moreno, E. Olivera, J. Obrian, F. Fagúndez, Nahuel Bustos, H. Rodallega
Prediction:
**Llaneros 1-1 Independiente Santa Fe**. Santa Fe's quality keeps them from losing, but Llaneros' hunger at home prevents a shutout. Coin flip with a lean toward a draw. 🤝
Where to watch
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Fanatiz USARCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
RCN Nuestra Tele
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Bello Horizonte “Rey Pelé”
City
Villavicencio
Kickoff
18 Oct, 23:05 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
Llaneros FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Independiente Santa Fe
22
R. Romaña
7.9
4
J. Pertuz
6.9
2
H. Mena
7.4
26
D. Quintero
7.8
16
J. Escobar
6.8
33
K. Osorio
6.6
↑ 67'
32
F. Castañeda
6.6
↑ 67'
10
N. Ospina
7.5
6
M. Sierra
6.7
↑ 56'
70
J. Contreras
6.5
↑ 56'
9
C. Cortés
7.0
↑ 67'
12
W. Asprilla
7.9
13
H. Palacios
6.9
18
E. Olivera
6.3
14
L. Palacios
6.7
↑ 82'
32
C. Mafla
6.6
17
M. Lovera
6.6
↑ 82'
21
E. Murillo Renteria
6.5
↑ 70'
25
E. Rodríguez
7.2
↑ 46'
6
K. Toscano
7.0
↑ 46'
9
F. Fagúndez
7.3
11
H. Rodallega
6.5
Substitutes
12GJ. Loaiza
3DV. Vidal
94DJ. Medranda
8MJ. Ramirez↓ 67'7.0
13MJ. Castilla↓ 67'6.9
7ML. Miranda↓ 56'6.8
14MK. Rincón↓ 56'6.4
20MB. Chury
17FY. Mena↓ 67'6.2
Coach: Wilmer Alberto Sandoval Galindo
Substitutes
31GJ. Espitia
15DI. Scarpeta↓ 82'6.7
4DM. Puerta
43DJ. Caicedo
7MJ. Torres↓ 46'6.8
16MD. Torres↓ 70'6.8
10MA. Zapata↓ 46'6.6
77FJ. Obrian↓ 82'6.6
39FC. Portocarrero
Coach: Pablo Repetto
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.78Expected goals (xG)1.34
16Total shots13
10Shots on target4
3Big chances2
7Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target4
1Blocked shots5
10Shots inside box11
6Shots outside box2
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed2
0.75Goals prevented0.8
Attack
19Touches in box24
58Final third entries47
2Offsides2
10Free kicks10
Passing
453Passes409
377Accurate passes334
27/55 (49%)Long balls19/35 (54%)
2/15 (13%)Crosses2/15 (13%)
24Throw-ins15
Duels
41Duels59
19/46 (41%)Ground duels27/46 (59%)
9/22 (41%)Aerial duels13/22 (59%)
3/8 (38%)Dribbles7/7 (100%)
5Dispossessed6
Defending
6Tackles10
83Tackles won80
7Interceptions8
13Clearances17
42Recoveries44
Discipline
10Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves9
8Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsSanta Fe to win (DNB) 53% · 1.91 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.12 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.23 @ Pinnacle
1X2Santa Fe to win 36% · 3.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 30% · 2.30 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.50 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.51 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.38 @ 1xBet
1X2Llaneros to win 34% · 3.10 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.70
Llaneros FC
3.10
Draw
2.52
Independiente Santa Fe
Double Chanceconsensus
1.46
Llaneros FC or Draw
1.33
Llaneros FC or Independiente Santa Fe
1.40
Draw or Independiente Santa Fe
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.83
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.10
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
2.96
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.20
Over 2.50
1.65
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.10
Over 3.50
1.20
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.55
Over 4.50
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.85
Llaneros FC
1.84
Independiente Santa Fe
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.32
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.37
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.35
Over 10.50
1.51
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.16
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.37
Llaneros FC
2.00
Draw
3.23
Independiente Santa Fe
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.00
Llaneros FC
2.27
Draw
2.88
Independiente Santa Fe
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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