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Pablo Repetto
Independiente Santa Fe
Millonarios
Independiente Santa Fe
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Millonarios
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
113297 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
65.8%
-28.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
20.6%
+20.5 vs price
Draw
18.0 · implied 5.6%
13.6%
+8.0 vs price
Half time
769 EUR · live
Draw
2.04 · implied 49.0%
91.4%
+42.4 vs price
Home
4.7 · implied 21.3%
8.1%
-13.2 vs price
Away
3.4 · implied 29.4%
0.4%
-29.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
19984 EUR · live
Under
3.05 · implied 32.8%
64.5%
+31.7 vs price
Over
1.47 · implied 68.0%
35.5%
-32.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
490 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
63.5%
-29.1 vs price
Over
13.5 · implied 7.4%
36.4%
+29.0 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 7 clips
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
D. Ruiz · assist L. Castro0–1
20'
VAR
Goal not given after review · H. Rodallega
27'
S. Valencia · Foul
33'
🔁
M. García ◂ Leonai
37'
P. Repetto · Argument
Half-time · 1–1
45'+2
⚽
J. Torres1–1
46'
S. Mosquera · Foul
50'
⚽
F. Fagúndez2–1
52'
J. Guerrero · Foul
57'
🔁
A. Estupiñán ◂ J. Guerrero
57'
🔁
D. Banguero ◂ S. Mosquera
57'
🔁
S. Martín ◂ S. Valencia
60'
M. García · Foul
64'
🔁
E. Rodríguez ◂ M. Lovera
71'
⚽
E. Rodríguez · assist D. Torres3–1
73'
⚽
A. Estupiñán3–2
75'
🔁
D. Quintero ◂ F. Chaverra
75'
🔁
L. Palacios ◂ J. Obrian
75'
🔁
Nahuel Bustos ◂ F. Fagúndez
76'
I. Scarpeta · Foul
78'
H. Palacios · Argument
86'
H. Palacios · Foul
86'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · L. Castro
89'
🔁
M. Puerta ◂ H. Rodallega
89'
🔁
K. Toscano ◂ J. Torres
Full-time · 3–2
90'+4
S. Martín · Foul
Coaches
Pablo RepettoOmar Rodríguez 
Recent form
Independiente Santa FeDAJunior Barranquilla1-1
DARiver Plate1-1
DHAmérica de Cali0-0
DHRiver Plate0-0
WHBoyacá Chicó FC2-0
MillonariosDHInternacional de Bogotá0-0
WALlaneros FC2-0
DARionegro Águilas Doradas1-1
WHDeportivo Pasto2-0
WAJunior Barranquilla1-0
Where to watch
Win PlayWin+ Futbol
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
City
Bogota
Kickoff
03 Sep, 01:25 UTC
Competition
Categoría Primera A
Highlights & clips
Independiente Santa Fe
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Millonarios
12
W. Asprilla
6.5
13
H. Palacios
5.9
18
E. Olivera
6.8
15
I. Scarpeta
6.9
32
C. Mafla
6.4
14
L. Palacios
6.8
↑ 75'
4
M. Puerta
6.4
↑ 89'
16
D. Torres
6.8
19
Nahuel Bustos
6.3
↑ 75'
25
E. Rodríguez
7.6
↑ 64'
6
K. Toscano
6.5
↑ 89'
1
J. Burrai
6.1
20
D. Banguero
6.6
↑ 57'
26
A. Llinás
5.9
3
S. Martín
6.3
↑ 57'
4
S. Barreiro
6.3
11
A. Estupiñán
7.8
↑ 57'
25
D. Quintero
6.4
↑ 75'
19
M. García
6.4
↑ 33'
18
R. Ureña
7.3
10
D. Ruiz
7.9
23
L. Castro
6.9
Substitutes
31GJ. Espitia
3DV. Moreno
42DJ. Zúñiga
7MJ. Torres↓ 89'8.4
39MC. Portocarrero
9FF. Fagúndez↓ 75'8.1
11FH. Rodallega↓ 89'7.2
17FM. Lovera↓ 64'6.8
77FJ. Obrian↓ 75'6.7
Coach: Pablo Repetto
Substitutes
12GJ. Aguirre
34DJ. Guerrero↓ 57'6.3
6DS. Mosquera↓ 57'6.1
22DS. Valencia↓ 57'5.7
43DC. Uparela
55MLeonai↓ 33'6.7
13MF. Chaverra↓ 75'5.8
24MJ. Angulo
30MS. d. Castillo
Coach: Omar Rodríguez
Top stats
46%Possession54%
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.3
12Total shots20
6Shots on target9
3Big chances1
7Corners8
Shots
4Shots off target6
2Blocked shots5
7Shots inside box12
5Shots outside box8
2Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
-0.82Goals prevented-0.6
Attack
17Touches in box17
63Final third entries58
2Offsides3
13Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
313Passes364
238Accurate passes294
27/53 (51%)Long balls34/59 (58%)
2/11 (18%)Crosses7/23 (30%)
17Throw-ins20
Duels
55Duels45
34/59 (58%)Ground duels25/59 (42%)
7/16 (44%)Aerial duels9/16 (56%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles3/8 (38%)
4Dispossessed10
Defending
15Tackles12
80Tackles won92
10Interceptions4
25Clearances19
44Recoveries36
Discipline
10Fouls13
3Yellow cards5
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
7Saves3
11Goal kicks9
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.11 @ William Hill
1X2Millonarios to win 40% · 2.75 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 79% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 30% · 2.32 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.25 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.46 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.78 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.77 @ 10bet
Who winsSanta Fe to win (DNB) 56% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 2.50 @ William Hill
1X2Santa Fe to win 30% · 3.54 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.10
Independiente Santa Fe
3.05
Draw
2.30
Millonarios
Double Chanceconsensus
1.54
Independiente Santa Fe or Draw
1.33
Independiente Santa Fe or Millonarios
1.34
Draw or Millonarios
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.05
Yes
1.70
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.40
Over 1.50
2.76
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.32
Over 2.50
1.57
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.44
Over 3.50
1.20
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.00
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.38
Independiente Santa Fe
1.53
Millonarios
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.34
Over 7.50
2.88
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.68
Over 8.50
2.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.98
Over 9.50
1.75
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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