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Milton Mendes
AD Marco 09
Paços de Ferreira
AD Marco 09
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Paços de Ferreira
Commentary
90'
Full-time. AD Marco 09 2-1 Paços de Ferreira.
90+9'
Attempt blocked. Anilson (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.09.
90+9'
Attempt blocked. C. Rafael (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.08.
90+9'
Attempt blocked. Anilson (Paços de Ferreira), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.
50'
Goal! AD Marco 09 2-1 Paços de Ferreira. H. Platiny (AD Marco 09) scores, assisted by T. Castro.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. AD Marco 09 1-0 Paços de Ferreira.
45+2'
Attempt missed. K. Semedo (AD Marco 09), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.
39'
Goal! AD Marco 09 1-0 Paços de Ferreira. K. Semedo (AD Marco 09) scores, assisted by L. Garro.
30'
Attempt blocked. T. Podstawski (Paços de Ferreira), header from a corner. xG 0.07.
1'
Kick-off: AD Marco 09 vs Paços de Ferreira.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
6394 EUR · live
Home
1.06 · implied 94.3%
80.6%
-13.7 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
10.5%
+6.8 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
10.1%
+10.0 vs price
Half time
362 EUR · live
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
95.0%
+71.1 vs price
Draw
1.7 · implied 58.8%
4.4%
-54.4 vs price
Away
3.25 · implied 30.8%
0.3%
-30.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
1798 EUR · live
Under
3.25 · implied 30.8%
76.4%
+45.6 vs price
Over
1.45 · implied 69.0%
23.6%
-45.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
926 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
93.0%
-5.1 vs price
Over
30.0 · implied 3.3%
6.9%
+3.6 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
2'
T. Cerveira
37'
J. Gata
39'
⚽
K. Semedo · assist L. Garro1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
T. Queiroz ◂ T. Podstawski
50'
B. Guimaraes
50'
⚽
H. Platiny · assist T. Castro2–1
56'
⚽
L. Garro (pen)2–1
62'
🔁
C. Rafael ◂ N. Cardoso
62'
🔁
L. Dias ◂ T. Cerveira
65'
🔁
G. Lobo ◂ K. Semedo
65'
B. Traoré
75'
🔁
P. P. Pepê ◂ L. Garro
76'
🔁
J. Sacramento ◂ T. Castro
83'
🔁
L. Couto ◂ J. Gata
86'
🔁
Anilson ◂ H. Platiny
86'
🔁
R. Rêgo ◂ B. Guimaraes
Full-time · 2–1
90'
C. Rafael
90'+7
B. Traoré
Coaches
Milton MendesVitor Paneira 
Recent form
AD Marco 09DACD Cinfães1-1
LAUnião de Leiria0-2
DAUSC Paredes2-2
WHSC Braga B1-0
WHAD Fafe1-0
Paços de FerreiraDHFelgueiras0-0
LHAVS - Futebol SAD0-2
WHPenafiel2-1
DASC Farense1-1
LHFeirense1-2
Where to watch
Canal 11
Match facts
Kickoff
09 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
Liga 3
Highlights & clips
AD Marco 09
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Paços de Ferreira
64
T. Martins
77
R. Barrett
82
J. Guerrero
6
F. Pacheco
4
Chicao
22
P. P. Pepê
↑ 75'
32
R. Rêgo
↑ 86'
29
L. Couto
↑ 83'
8
Erivaldo
26
G. Lobo
↑ 65'
20
B. Traoré
31
C. Pereira
15
L. Dias
↑ 62'
33
R. Vieira
43
J. Sidónio
85
D. Castro
76
T. Queiroz
↑ 46'
8
N. Cunha
96
M. Falé
21
Anilson
↑ 86'
11
J. Sacramento
↑ 76'
55
C. Rafael
↑ 62'
Substitutes
99GD. Carvalho
25DH. Pereira
18DD. Martins
21DC. Pedrosa
17MJ. Gata↓ 83'
17MT. Teixeira
14MH. Doukouré
10MD. Duarte
9FK. Semedo↓ 65'
10FL. Garro↓ 75'
23FB. Guimaraes↓ 86'
Coach: Milton Mendes
Substitutes
12GJeimes
29DT. Cerveira↓ 62'
3DDiegão
4DKauan
22DM. Mota
6MT. Podstawski↓ 46'
19MNito
7FN. Cardoso↓ 62'
99FH. Platiny↓ 86'
7FD. Fernandes
47FI. Moreira
19T. Castro↓ 76'
Coach: Vitor Paneira
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.94Expected goals (xG)1.73
4Shots on target2
3Corners5
Shots
5Shots off target3
Attack
3Offsides1
15Free kicks22
Passing
23Throw-ins21
Discipline
19Fouls14
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Goal kicks0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsPaços de Ferreira to win (DNB) 54% · 1.75 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68%
1X2Paços de Ferreira to win 38% · 2.50 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.70 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.27 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 30% · 3.31 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 2.02 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 1.40 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54%
1X2Marco 09 to win 32% · 2.98 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.80
AD Marco 09
3.12
Draw
2.29
Paços de Ferreira
Double Chanceconsensus
1.50
AD Marco 09 or Draw
1.31
AD Marco 09 or Paços de Ferreira ▲
1.37
Draw or Paços de Ferreira ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes
1.85
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50 ▲
7.60
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
2.92
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.09
Over 2.50
1.66
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.65
Over 3.50
1.24
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.25
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.87
AD Marco 09
1.73
Paços de Ferreira ▲
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.89
Odd ▲
1.83
Even
Team Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.39
Over 0.50 ▲
2.80
Under 0.50 ▲
Team Total Goals 1.50consensus
2.75
Over 1.50
1.39
Under 1.50 ▲
Team Total Goals 2.50consensus
6.41
Over 2.50
1.08
Under 2.50
Highest Scoring Halfconsensus
3.15
1st Half
2.03
2nd Half ▼
3.11
Tie
1 / No Goal / 2consensus
2.12
AD Marco 09 ▲
8.00
No goal
1.93
Paços de Ferreira ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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